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Table 5 AIC values for the three models using 3 to 8 degrees of freedom for temperature and 2 to 6 degrees of freedom for lag, Stockholm, 1990–2002 in ages 45 to 79 years of age

From: On the estimation of heat-intensity and heat-duration effects in time series models of temperature-related mortality in Stockholm, Sweden

df Temperature Spline

No heat wave variable (model 1)

With heat wave duration variable (model 2)

With heat wave indicator variable (model 3)

 

df Lag Spline = 2

3

17410

17405

17406

4

17415

17409

17410

5

17416

17412

17412

6

17416

17412

17413

7

17417

17415

17415

8

17419

17417

17417

 

df Lag Spline = 4

3

17418

17413

17413

4

17423

17418

17419

5

17428

17424

17425

6

17430

17428

17428

7

17426

17426

17426

8

17434

17434

17434

 

df Lag Spline = 6

3

17426

17421

17421

4

17435

17430

17430

5

17443

17440

17440

6

17448

17447

17446

7

17448

17448

17447

8

17456

17457

17456