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Table 1 Scheme to express level of confidence.

From: We’re only in it for the knowledge? A problem solving turn in environment and health expert elicitation

4

Very high confidence.

3

High confidence.

2

Medium confidence.

1

Low confidence.

0

Very low confidence.

At least a 9 out of 10 chance of being correct.

At least an 8 out of 10 chance of being correct.

At least a 5 out of 10 chance of being correct.

At least a 2 out of 10 chance of being correct.

Less than a 1 out of 10 chance of being correct.

  1. In: IPCC: Fourth Assessment Report. Climate change 2007: Synthesis report; 2007.