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Table 1 Deaths in flooded and non-flooded areas in the year before and after the flood onset

From: Long-term effects of flooding on mortality in England and Wales, 1994-2005: controlled interrupted time-series analysis

 

Flooded area

Non-flooded boundary area ≤5 km

Ratio (95%CI) of change in flooded/non-flooded areas [(B/A)/(D/C)]

 

Year before flood (A)

Year after flood (B)

Ratio (B/A)

Year before flood (C)

Year after flood (D)

Ratio (D/C)

 

All areas

771

693

0.90

286793

285289

0.99

0.90 (0.82 - 1.00)

Age (years)

       

   0-64

136

127

0.93

49437

48724

0.99

0.95 (0.74 - 1.21)

   65-74

137

118

0.86

57451

55117

0.96

0.92 (0.72 - 1.18)

   75-84

234

204

0.87

95045

94352

0.99

0.87 (0.72 - 1.05)

   85+

264

244

0.92

84860

87096

1.03

0.88 (0.73 - 1.05)

Sex

       

   Men

369

332

0.90

136511

135225

0.99

0.90 (0.78 - 1.05)

   Women

402

361

0.90

150282

150064

1.00

0.89 (0.77 - 1.03)

Cause of death

       

   Infectious

2

7

3.60

1885

2056

1.09

3.10 (0.70 - 13.8)

   Cardiovascular

311

289

0.89

113725

113138

0.99

0.92 (0.79 - 1.09)

   Respiratory

116

104

0.90

46565

41569

0.89

0.97 (0.74 - 1.27)

   Mental illness

23

20

0.87

5798

6648

1.15

0.74 (0.41 - 1.35)

   External

20

28

1.40

8682

8768

1.01

1.41 (0.79 - 2.52)

   All others

299

245

0.82

110139

113110

1.03

1.03 (0.81 - 0.96)

Urban/rural

       

   Urban

470

428

0.91

233651

232068

0.99

0.91 (0.80 - 1.04)

   Rural

301

265

0.88

53142

53221

1.00

0.88 (0.74 - 1.04)

Deprivation quintile

       

   Q1 (least deprived)

205

179

0.87

57222

57161

1.00

0.87 (0.71 - 1.07)

   Q2

176

166

0.94

57306

57165

1.00

0.90 (0.72 - 1.11)

   Q3

193

183

0.95

57261

57003

1.00

0.97 (0.79 - 1.19)

   Q4

133

120

0.90

57217

57171

1.00

0.89 (0.70 - 1.14)

   Q5 (most deprived)

64

45

0.70

57787

56789

0.98

0.74 (0.51 - 1.09)

Place of death

       

   Home

159

132

0.83

56215

54866

0.98

0.84 (0.67 - 1.06)

   Hospital

395

353

0.89

161496

161064

1.00

0.88 (0.77 - 1.02)

   Hospice

43

30

0.70

13024

13054

1.00

0.71 (0.45 - 1.15)

   Nursing home

84

83

0.99

27387

27975

1.02

0.95 (0.70 - 1.30)

   Residential home

71

65

0.92

21067

20597

0.98

0.90 (0.64 - 1.26)

   Other

19

30

1.58

7604

7733

1.02

1.53 (0.85 - 2.76)