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Table 5 Estimated number of additional cancer cases in the three countries as result of exposure to incinerators before 2001 (past exposure) and during 2001-2020 (current exposure).

From: Health impact assessment of waste management facilities in three European countries

  Italy Slovakia England
  Additional cases 95% CI Additional cases 95% CI Additional cases 95% CI
Annual cases due to exposure before 2001 (Past exposure)   
2001 88 76 - 101 0.82 0.71 - 0.94 33 28 - 38
2010 92 79 - 105 0.85 0.73 - 0.98 36 31 - 41
2020 89 76 - 101 0.84 0.72 - 0.96 36 31 - 41
2030 28 24 - 32 0.28 0.24 - 0.32 12 10 - 13
2040 2.0 1.4 - 2.6 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.068 0.058 - 0.077
2050 1.6 1.1 - 2.1 0 0 - 0 0 0 - 0
2001-2050* 2540 2172-2896 23 20 - 27 1005 861-1149
Annual cases due to exposure during 2001-2020 (Current exposure)   
2001 0 0 - 0 0 0 - 0 0 0 - 0
2010 2.7 2.3 - 3.1 0.017 0.015 - 0.020 1.7 1.5 - 2.0
2020 11 10 - 13 0.071 0.061 - 0.081 7.1 6.1 - 8.1
2030 4.6 4.0 - 5.3 0.029 0.025 - 0.033 2.9 2.5 - 3.3
2040 0.051 0.044 - 0.05858 0 0 - 0 0.032 0.028 - 0.037
2050 0 0 - 0 0 0 - 0 0.0 0 - 0
2001-2050* 189 162-216 1.2 1.0 - 1.4 120 103 - 137
Total (Past + Current exposure)     
2001 88 76 - 101 0.82 0.71 - 0.94 33 28 - 38
2010 95 81 - 108 0.87 0.75 - 1.0 38 33 - 43
2020 100 86 - 114 0.91 0.78 - 1.0 43 37 - 49
2030 33 28 - 37 0.31 0.026 - 0.035 15 13 - 16
2040 2.1 1.4 - 2.7 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.100 0.086 - 0.114
2050 1.6 1.1 - 2.1 0 0 - 0 0.0 0 - 0
2001-2050* 2729 2334-3112 24 21 - 28 1125 964-1286
  1. * Cumulative number of cases during the period 2001-2050