Health impact assessment of waste management facilities in three European countries

Table 5 Estimated number of additional cancer cases in the three countries as result of exposure to incinerators before 2001 (past exposure) and during 2001-2020 (current exposure).

	Italy		Slovakia		England
	Additional cases	95% CI	Additional cases	95% CI	Additional cases	95% CI
Annual cases due to exposure before 2001 (Past exposure)
2001	88	76 - 101	0.82	0.71 - 0.94	33	28 - 38
2010	92	79 - 105	0.85	0.73 - 0.98	36	31 - 41
2020	89	76 - 101	0.84	0.72 - 0.96	36	31 - 41
2030	28	24 - 32	0.28	0.24 - 0.32	12	10 - 13
2040	2.0	1.4 - 2.6	0.002	0.001 - 0.002	0.068	0.058 - 0.077
2050	1.6	1.1 - 2.1	0	0 - 0	0	0 - 0
2001-2050*	2540	2172-2896	23	20 - 27	1005	861-1149
Annual cases due to exposure during 2001-2020 (Current exposure)
2001	0	0 - 0	0	0 - 0	0	0 - 0
2010	2.7	2.3 - 3.1	0.017	0.015 - 0.020	1.7	1.5 - 2.0
2020	11	10 - 13	0.071	0.061 - 0.081	7.1	6.1 - 8.1
2030	4.6	4.0 - 5.3	0.029	0.025 - 0.033	2.9	2.5 - 3.3
2040	0.051	0.044 - 0.05858	0	0 - 0	0.032	0.028 - 0.037
2050	0	0 - 0	0	0 - 0	0.0	0 - 0
2001-2050*	189	162-216	1.2	1.0 - 1.4	120	103 - 137
Total (Past + Current exposure)
2001	88	76 - 101	0.82	0.71 - 0.94	33	28 - 38
2010	95	81 - 108	0.87	0.75 - 1.0	38	33 - 43
2020	100	86 - 114	0.91	0.78 - 1.0	43	37 - 49
2030	33	28 - 37	0.31	0.026 - 0.035	15	13 - 16
2040	2.1	1.4 - 2.7	0.002	0.001 - 0.002	0.100	0.086 - 0.114
2050	1.6	1.1 - 2.1	0	0 - 0	0.0	0 - 0
2001-2050*	2729	2334-3112	24	21 - 28	1125	964-1286

ISSN: 1476-069X