Table 4 Implications of uncertainty and relevance for policy
Effects are of: | Low relevance | High relevance |
|---|---|---|
High level of precision | Tailored, prediction-based strategies (e.g. risk approach) are feasible. | Tailored, prediction-based strategies (e.g. risk approach) are feasible. |
Focus: low costs/efforts or co-benefits. | Consider (but critically reflect on) costly and extensive options. | |
Low level of precision | Enhance system’s capability of dealing with changes, uncertainties, and surprises (e.g. resilience approach). | Enhance system’s capability of dealing with changes, uncertainties, and surprises (e.g. resilience approach). |
Focus: low costs/efforts or co-benefits. | Consider (but critically reflect on) costly and extensive options, including precautionary measures. Assess overinvestment risks and flexibility. |