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Table 2 Percent change in risk for lagged black smoke air pollution and pneumonia mortality: repeated for AP (All pneumonia), CDP (Community death from pneumonia) & Non-CDP

From: Has the short-term effect of black smoke exposure on pneumonia mortality been underestimated because hospitalisation is ignored: findings from a case-crossover study

  

AP

CDP only

Non - CDP only

   
 

Lag (days)

% RR change

95% C.I.

% RR change

95% C.I.

% RR change

95% C.I.

|CDP|-|AP| diff

|CDP-Non CDP| diff

P-val

MODEL 1 Black Smoke

1-30

0.08%

-0.17%, 0.35%

0.19%

-0.16%, 0.58%

0.01%

-0.34%, 0.40%

0.11%

0.18%

0.285

Air Temp “Low”

1-30

0.20%

0.11%, 0.29%

0.22%

0.09%, 0.35%

0.16%

0.03%, 0.30%

0.02%

0.06%

0.502

Air Temp “High”

1-30

-0.05%

-0.20%, 0.10%

-0.20%

-0.40%, 0.00%

0.11%

-0.11%, 0.34%

0.15%

0.31%

0.059

MODEL 2 Black Smoke

1-6

0.12%

-0.37%, 0.62%

0.56%

-0.14%, 1.29%

-0.31%

-0.99%, 0.41%

0.44%

0.87%

0.022

7-12

0.05%

-0.42%, 0.53%

0.32%

-0.33%, 1.00%

-0.25%

-0.92%, 0.45%

0.28%

0.57%

0.023

13-18

0.40%

-0.08%, 0.90%

0.71%

0.03%, 1.42%

0.14%

-0.56%, 0.86%

0.31%

0.57%

0.163

19-24

-0.09%

-0.55%, 0.38%

-0.16%

-0.79%, 0.50%

0.05%

-0.63%, 0.75%

0.06%

0.21%

0.272

25-30

-0.11%

-0.57%, 0.36%

-0.39%

-1.01%, 0.25%

0.34%

-0.35%, 1.06%

0.28%

0.73%

0.008

Air Temp “Low”

1-30

0.19%

0.10%, 0.29%

0.19%

0.06%, 0.32%

0.18%

0.05%, 0.32%

0.00%

0.01%

0.487

Air Temp “High”

1-30

-0.05%

-0.19%, 0.10%

-0.20%

-0.39%, 0.01%

0.09%

-0.12%, 0.33%

0.15%

0.29%

0.058

  1. %RR Change - percentage change in Relative Risk, associated with an increase of 10 μgm-3 BS or a decrease of 1°C, on any individual day within the lag period, with corresponding 95% Confidence Interval (95% C.I.).
  2. Model 1 - One 30 day lag, Model 2 - The 30 days split into 5 lags of 6 days each fitted simultaneously.
  3. CDP – AP Diff - The difference in the magnitude of the effect size between AP and CDP (CDP-AP).
  4. CDP-Non CDP Diff - The difference in the effect size between CDP and Non-CDP (CDP – Non CDP).