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Table 4 Sample prevalence and assumed distribution of exposed miners in Zimbabwe around 2004

From: The burden of chronic mercury intoxication in artisanal small-scale gold mining in Zimbabwe: data availability and preliminary estimates

Column A

B

C

D

E

Subgroups of artisanal small-scale gold (ASG) miners

Sample prevalence of chronic mercury intoxication in ASG miners*

Main analysis: Numbers and percentages**of ASG miners assumed for Zimbabwe

Sources of numbers and percentages marked in bold in column C

Scenario analysis: numbers and percentage distribution assumed for Zimbabwe (scenario range)

Min.

Source

Max.

Source

Total (T)

72%

(131/181)

350,000

100%

[8, 9, 50, 51]

No variation

500,000

[54, 55]

Adults (A)’

72%

(118/164)

297,500

85% of T

GMP 2004

No variation

98% of T

[14]

Males (M)

90%

(95/106)

208,250

70% of A

Mid-value of reported data***

50% of A

[8, 9, 50]

89% of A

[52, 53]

15-24

91%

(41/45)

74,350

36% of M

GMP 2004 cross-checked against Mtetwa and Shava [52]

No variation

25-34

88%

(35/40)

86,000

41% of M

35-41

90%

(19/21)

21,450

10% of M

42+

26,450

13% of M

Females (F)

40%

(23/58)

89,250

30% of A

Mid-value of reported data***

11% of A

[52, 53]

50% of A

[8, 9, 50]

15-24

26%

(7/27)

31,860

36% of F

GMP 2004 cross-checked against Mtetwa and Shava [52]

No variation

25-34

52%

(16/31)

36,860

41% of F

35-41

9,190

10% of F

42+

11,340

13% of F

Children”

76%

(13/17)

52,500

15% of T

GMP 2004

2% of T

[14]

No variation

Male (M)

38,500

11% of T

Female (F)

14,000

4% of T

  1. *The data were taken from the Global Mercury Project (GMP), conducted by UNIDO in Zimbabwe in 2004 [5, 12], and from a health and biomonitoring project focusing on women of child-bearing age and their infants, conducted in Zimbabwe in 2006 by the University of Munich (LMU; Germany) [48]. The sample prevalence of the control group is 0%. The sample prevalence (in %) in every subgroup is determined using Formula 1, Table 1. The number of intoxicated and the subgroup size are shown between parentheses.
  2. **Numbers and percentages are rounded and include uncertainties because their distribution was derived using the estimates given in the sources in column D.
  3. ***References consulted with estimates for Zimbabwe [8, 9, 50, 52, 53] cross-checked against the GMP 2004.
  4. Adults: individuals 15 years and older.
  5. Children: individuals aged 9–14; children aged 0–8 were not assumed to be occupationally exposed.
  6. A: adults; F: females; GMP 2004: own analysis using data from the Global Mercury Project 2004 for Zimbabwe; M: males; Max.: maximum; Min.: minimum; T: total.