Skip to main content

Table 3 Sensitivity analysis – percent increase in mortality at 25°C by cluster and month

From: Acclimatization across space and time in the effects of temperature on mortality: a time-series analysis

 

April

May

June

July

August

September

1

9.04 (7.42, 10.68)

7.02 (5.60, 8.47)

2.79 (2.27, 3.32)

0.66 (0.41, 0.91)

1.25 (0.92, 1.59)

3.45 (2.69, 4.21)

2

6.48 (4.56, 8.43)

6.00 (4.78, 7.24)

4.08 (3.25, 4.92)

1.98 (1.53, 2.44)

2.63 (1.94, 3.31)

4.38 (3.19, 5.58)

3

4.88 (2.98, 6.82)

3.72 (2.80, 4.65)

1.50 (1.06, 1.94)

-0.03 (-0.15, 0.09)

0.61 (0.33, 0.88)

2.08 (1.15, 3.02)

4

2.93 (1.75, 4.13)

1.65 (0.80, 2.52)

0.22 (0.05, 0.38)

-1.93 (-2.70, -1.15)

-0.74 (-1.14, -0.35)

0.77 (0.27, 1.28)

5

5.58 (1.22, 10.14)

6.69 (4.41, 9.02)

7.24 (4.74, 9.79)

6.29 (4.90, 7.69)

4.33 (2.80, 5.88)

6.18 (4.17, 8.23)

6

2.82 (0.60, 5.10)

0.64 (0.06, 1.22)

-1.43 (-2.21, -0.65)

-3.91 (-6.76, -0.97)

-2.40 (-3.84, -0.94)

-0.51 (-0.78, -0.24)

7

1.64 (0.13, 3.18)

0.38 (0.01, 0.74)

-1.48 (-2.25, -0.70)

-2.74 (-4.25, -1.20)

-0.64 (-1.98, 0.72)

-0.04 (-0.27, 0.19)

8

0.65 (0.09, 1.21)

-0.38 (-0.62, -0.14)

-2.05 (-2.95, -1.14)

-2.56 (-3.96, -1.15)

-2.40 (-3.90, -0.88)

-1.42 (-2.30, -0.52)

  1. Sensitivity analysis for the addition of visibility.
  2. Estimate is percent increase in mortality at 25°C compared to mortality at the mean of each cluster and month.
  3. Negative value means lower mortality than the reference temperature of 18°C.
  4. () is 95% confidence interval.