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Table 2 The description of different scenarios. See Exposure scenarios sub-model -chapter for details.

From: Parameter and model uncertainty in a life-table model for fine particles (PM2.5): a statistical modeling study

 

Scenario

 

Current with traffic

Reduced traffic emissions

Current without traffic

Additional exposure

Follow-up period

Years 2002–2112

Population

Year 2002 Helsinki Metropolitan Area population

Primary PM2.5 health effects

Included in background mortality

Included in background mortality

Background mortality minus health effects of traffic related primary PM2.5 exposure

Background mortality plus health effects of additional 10 μgm-3 PM2.5 exposure

Primary PM2.5 exposure scenario

The actual 2002 exposure for 2002–2112

Actual 2002 exposure for 2002, then a gradual decrease of local traffic exposure until 2025; constant thereafter

No traffic exposure between 2002–2112

Actual 2002 exposure plus 10 μgm-3 for 2002–2112

Uncertainties in exposure taken into account

No

Yes

Yes

No