Table 1 Preliminary estimates of ozone- and heat-attributable deaths in England and Wales for combined years 2003, 2005 and 2006 using observed ozone heat-mortality relationships from Pattenden et al.[20] combined with simulated ozone concentrations and temperature from EMEP4UK.
From: Current and future climate- and air pollution-mediated impacts on human health
Total deaths | Number and percentage (95% CI) of deaths attributable to: | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ozone | Heat | ||||
Number | percent | Number | percent | ||
All | 596914 | 6798 | 1.1 (0.5 - 1.7) | 5531 | 0.9 (0.8 - 1.1) |
By Region: | |||||
North East | 31890 | 318 | 1.0 (0.5 - 1.5) | 42 | 0.1 (-0.0- 0.3) |
North West | 83766 | 817 | 1.0 (0.5 - 1.5) | 1068 | 1.3 (1.1 - 1.5) |
Yorks & Hum | 58502 | 559 | 1.0 (0.4 - 1.4) | 352 | 0.6 (0.4 - 0.8) |
E Midland | 49183 | 531 | 1.1 (0.5 - 1.6) | 420 | 0.9 (0.7 - 1.0) |
W Midland | 61324 | 668 | 1.1 (0.5 - 1.6) | 591 | 1.0 (0.8 - 1.1) |
East | 61166 | 735 | 1.2 (0.6 - 1.8) | 316 | 0.5 (0.4 - 0.6) |
London | 62277 | 756 | 1.2 (0.6 - 1.8) | 1202 | 1.9 (1.8 - 2.1) |
S East | 89979 | 1199 | 1.3 (0.6 - 2.0) | 688 | 0.8 (0.7 - 0.9) |
S West | 61663 | 785 | 1.3 (0.6 - 1.9) | 519 | 0.8 (0.7 - 1.0) |
Wales | 37164 | 429 | 1.2 (0.5 - 1.7) | 333 | 0.9 (0.7 - 1.1) |
By Population density: | |||||
Urban | 394152 | 4492 | 1.1 (0.5 - 1.7) | 4383 | 1.1 (0.9 - 1.3) |
Other | 202762 | 2306 | 1.1 (0.5 - 1.7) | 1149 | 0.6 (0.4 - 0.7) |
By Month: | |||||
May | 126148 | 1912 | 1.5 (0.7 - 2.3) | 79 | 0.1 (0.0 - 0.1) |
June | 117910 | 1478 | 1.3 (0.6 - 1.9) | 683 | 0.6 (0.4 - 0.7) |
July | 119909 | 1311 | 1.1 (0.5 - 1.6) | 2717 | 2.3 (1.9 - 2.7) |
August | 119056 | 1142 | 1.0 (0.5 - 1.4) | 1963 | 1.6 (1.4 - 1.9) |
September | 113891 | 956 | 0.8 (0.4 - 1.3) | 89 | 0.1 (0.1 - 0.1) |
By Temperature: | |||||
<92nd centile | 481556 | 4770 | 1.0 (0.5 - 1.5) | 0 | 0.0 (0.0 - 0.0) |
92nd-99th centile | 92109 | 1516 | 1.6 (0.8 - 2.5) | 2337 | 2.5 (1.9 - 3.2) |
> = 99th centile | 19168 | 512 | 2.7 (1.3 - 4.0) | 3195 | 16.7 (14.9- 18.5) |