Terms in model | Da (df) | Effect | ΔD (Δdf) | p value |
---|
Age | 1848 (1812) | - | - | - |
Age + Drift | 1764 (1811) | δb|A | 84 (1) | < 10-15
|
Age + Period | 1727 (1805) | Pc|A | 37 (6) | < 10-5
|
Age + Period + Cohort | 1721 (1799) | Cc|A, P | 6 (6) | 0.46 |
Age + Cohort | 1753 (1805) | Pc|A, C | 32 (6) | < 10-4
|
Age + Drift | 1764 (1811) | Cc|A | 11 (6) | 0.08 |
-
a deviance
-
b drift or linear secular trend
-
c curvature or non-linear effect
-
d the submodels are arranged in a sequence that gives all the relevant tests as comparisons between adjacent lines (using the difference in deviances and the F test). The successive tests (all adjusted for age) refer therefore to the drift, the non linear effect of period, the non linear effect of cohort (adjusted for period), the non linear effect of period (adjusted for cohort) and the non linear effect of cohort.