Table 3 Estimated mortality for the heatwave of 2003 and a range of future climate projections under a medium emissions scenario, based on 3 different modelled temperature metrics
From: Attribution of mortality to the urban heat island during heatwaves in the West Midlands, UK
|  | ‘Current’ climate | Future climate projections (without population changes) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Temperature metric | 2003 heatwave | 2020s | 2050s | 2080s |
‘Urban’ population weighted | 90 | 138(125) | 200(159) | 278(192) |
‘Urban’ geographical mean | 73 | 114(104) | 173(138) | 248(172) |
‘Rural’ | 43 | 79(72) | 125(101) | 195(135) |