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Table 4 Estimates of ERR at 10 mGy, age 70, agex 35, since 35

From: Low dose radiation risks for women surviving the a-bombs in Japan: generalized additive model

Sex

Range

Method

Model

Scale

Covariates

ERR |10 mGy, Female

 
      

90% CI, age 70,

 
      

agex 35, since 35

Ratio

MF

0–4 Gy

 

LinExt from [1]

1

s,c,d,dose,age,agex

0.0053 (0.0037, 0.0067)

1.0

MF

0–0.5 Gy (urban)

 

WtMovAv from [2]

1

s,dose,age,agex

0.02a (estimate)

3.8

F

A-

1

P5se

1

c,d,ecdos,age,since

0.242 (0.057, 0.459)

45.7

F

A-

2

P4se

1

c,d,ecdos,since

0.225 (0.045, 0.437)

42.5

F

A-

3

P4se

1

c,d,ecdos,since

0.225 (0.045, 0.437)

42.5

F

A-

4

Q4se

0.901

c,d,ecdos,since

0.228 (0.055, 0.430)

43.0

F

A+

1

P5se

1

c,d,ecdos,age,since

0.230 (0.054, 0.436)

43.4

F

A+

2

P5se

1

c,d,ecdos,age,since

0.230 (0.054, 0.436)

43.4

F

A+

3

P4se

1

c,d,ecdos,since

0.202 (0.032, 0.401)

38.1

F

A+

4

Q4sd

0.868

c,d,dose,since

0.088 (-0.001, 0.185)

16.6

F

B-

1

P5se

1

c,d,ecdos,age,since

0.088 (0.017, 0.164)

16.6

F

B-

2

P4se

1

c,d,ecdos,since

0.085 (0.015, 0.160)

16.0

F

B-

3

P4se

1

c,d,ecdos,since

0.085 (0.015, 0.160)

16.0

F

B-

4

Q4se

1.141

c,d,ecdos,since

0.077 (0.011, 0.148)

14.5

F

B+

1

P5se

1

c,d,ecdos,age,since

0.068 (0.021, 0.117)

12.8

F

B+

2

P3d

1

c,d,dose,age

0.013 (0.000, 0.026)

2.5

F

B+

3

P2e

1

c,d,ecdos

0.061 (0.015, 0.110)

11.5

F

B+

4

Q2e

1.102

c,d,ecdos

0.061 (0.013, 0.112)

11.5

F

C-

1

P5se

1

c,d,ecdos,age,since

0.064 (0.038, 0.090)

12.1

F

C-

2

P5ae

1

c,d,ecdos,age,agex

0.068 (0.045, 0.091)

12.8

F

C-

3

P3e

1

c,d,ecdos,age

0.055 (0.034, 0.076)

10.4

F

C-

4

Q3e

1.079

c,d,ecdos,age

0.051 (0.034, 0.068)

9.6

F

C+

1

P5se

1

c,d,ecdos,age,since

0.091 (0.055, 0.128)

17.2

F

C+

2

P4se

1

c,d,ecdos,since

0.057 (0.040, 0.075)

10.8

F

C+

3

P4se

1

c,d,ecdos,since

0.057 (0.040, 0.075)

10.8

F

C+

4

Q4se

1.066

c,d,ecdos,since

0.056 (0.039, 0.073)

10.6

  1. Method Model Selection Method
  2. Model for P5se etc. see Table 2
  3. LinExt Linear Extrapolation
  4. WtMovAv Weighted Moving Averages
  5. Covariates s=sex, c=city, d=distcat
  6. Ratio ERR estimate from model / ERR estimate by Linear Extrapolation from [1]
  7. aestimate from [2] Fig. 1