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Table 2 Average annual loss (AAL) and probable maximum loss (PML) at given return period for two age groups during 1971–2015. The numbers in parentheses indicate mortality loss at 95% confidence interval

From: Mortality effects of heat waves vary by age and area: a multi-area study in China

Age

Studied areas

Heat wave mortality loss (per million)

AAL

1/50a

1/100a

0–64a

I

0.2 (0, 1.3)

0.9 (0, 5.0)

1.1 (0, 6.2)

II

0.9 (0, 3.3)

3.0 (0, 8.9)

3.6 (0, 9.9)

III

0.1 (0, 0.7)

0.5 (0, 2.6)

0.6 (0, 3.2)

65–a

I

38.0 (3.8, 72.2)

162.0 (58.2, 273.4)

189.9 (75.9, 322.8)

II

61.3 (30.6, 91.9)

163.7 (84.9, 244.3)

183.9 (94.6, 271.5)

III

18.7 (7.3, 30.0)

73.3 (38.7, 110.0)

86.0 (46.0, 127.3)

Allb

I

3.2 (0.3, 6.9)

13.6 (4.6, 26.2)

16.0 (6.0, 31.2)

II

7.8 (3.5, 13.4)

21.4 (9.7, 35.8)

24.2 (10.8, 39.8)

III

2.9 (1.1, 5.1)

11.4 (5.8, 18.7)

13.4 (6.9, 21.8)

  1. I: PK Nanjing; II: WZ Chongqing; III: YX Guangzhou
  2. aAge-specific mortality rate
  3. bCrude mortality rate