Assessing the magnitude and uncertainties of the burden of selected diseases attributable to extreme heat and extreme precipitation under a climate change scenario in Michigan for the period 2041–2070

Table 5 Characterization of uncertainty* by source in the estimates of the annual burden of disease attributable to extreme heat (EH) and extreme precipitation (EP) exposures in the historical (1971–2000) and projected (2040–2070) periods

Exposure and Response	Baseline health effect estimate	Population estimate	Exposure estimate	Exposure-response association	Costs
Historical
EH-mortality	Low	Low	Low	Moderate	High
EH hospitalizations	Low	Low	Low	Moderate	Moderate
EH-ED visits	Moderate	Low	Low	Moderate	Moderate
EP-GI illness ED visits	Moderate	Low	Low	Moderate	Moderate
Projected
EH-mortality	Moderate	Moderate	Moderate	Moderate	High
EH-renal hospitalizations	Moderate	Moderate	Moderate	Moderate	High
EH-ED visits	Moderate	Moderate	Moderate	Moderate	High
EP-GI illness ED visits	Moderate	Moderate	High	High	High

*Approximate range of the uncertainty around the central estimate: Low = ±49%, Moderate = −99% to −50% or + 50% to + 99%, High = ≤ −100% or ≥ + 200%

ISSN: 1476-069X