Fig. 3

Weekly observed and predicted shellfish-related Vp case counts, BC, 2007–2017. Filled circles represent observed case counts from the outbreak year 2015; open circles and bars represent the mean and 95% CIs of observed case counts across non-outbreak years combined (2007–2014, 2016–2017). The black line shows the model fit for 2015; the grey line and shaded area show the median and minimum to maximum range of model fits for the non-outbreak years