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Table 2 Association between childhood leukaemia incidence rate and crop densitiesa (all crops and permanent crops)

From: Residential proximity to croplands at birth and childhood leukaemia

 

AL (N = 8 747)

ALL (N = 7 236)

AML (N = 1 335)

O

E

SIR

95% CI

pb

O

E

SIR

95% CI

pb

O

E

SIR

95% CI

pb

Total crops

 Total crop density < 5%

2758

2788.8

0.99

0.95–1.03

0.54

2285

2308.5

0.99

0.95–1.03

0.67

422

440.7

0.96

0.87–1.05

0.26

 [5–18.7]

1476

1485.4

0.99

0.94–1.05

 

1211

1228.4

0.99

0.93–1.04

 

231

224.1

1.03

0.91–1.17

 

 [18.7–37.4]

1507

1485.1

1.01

0.96–1.07

 

1263

1228.2

1.03

0.97–1.09

 

212

223.3

0.95

0.83–1.09

 

 [37.4–61.0]

1541

1490.7

1.03

0.98–1.09

 

1259

1232.8

1.02

0.97–1.08

 

252

223.3

1.13

1.00–1.28

 

  ≥ 61

1465

1497.1

0.98

0.93–1.03

 

1218

1238.1

0.98

0.93–1.04

 

218

223.6

0.98

0.85–1.11

 

Test of departure from log-linearity

    

0.38

    

0.51

    

0.18

SIRR for ∆x = 10%c

  

1.00

0.99–1.01

0.47

 

1238.1

1.00

0.99–1.01

0.44

 

223.6

1.00

0.99–1.01

0.31

Viticulture

 Total crop density < 5%

2758

2788.8

0.99

0.95–1.03

0.84

2285

2308.5

0.99

0.95–1.03

0.88

422

440.7

0.96

0.87–1.05

0.62

 Total crop density ≥ 5% and viticulture < 5%

5413

5391.7

1.00

0.98–1.03

 

4465

4459.2

1.00

0.97–1.03

 

834

809.7

1.03

0.96–1.10

 

 [5–10.0]

143

141.2

1.01

0.86–1.19

 

124

116.8

1.06

0.89–1.27

 

17

21.1

0.81

0.50–1.30

 

 [10.0–16.2]

141

143.7

0.98

0.83–1.16

 

116

118.8

0.98

0.81–1.17

 

22

21.5

1.02

0.67–1.56

 

 [16.2–24.7]

138

142.0

0.97

0.82–1.15

 

120

117.5

1.02

0.85–1.22

 

17

21.2

0.80

0.50–1.29

 

  ≥ 24.7

154

139.5

1.10

0.94–1.29

 

126

115.4

1.09

0.92–1.30

 

23

20.8

1.10

0.73–1.66

 

Test of departure from log-linearity

    

0.48

    

0.94

    

0.48

SIRR for ∆x = 10%c

  

1.01

0.98–1.04

0.24

 

115.4

1.01

0.98–1.05

0.23

 

20.8

1.01

0.93–1.09

0.45

Arboriculture

 Total crop density < 5%

2758

2788.8

0.99

0.95–1.03

0.07

2285

2308.5

0.99

0.95–1.03

0.15

422

440.7

0.96

0.87–1.05

0.33

 Total crop density ≥ 5% and arboriculture < 5%

5809

5742.1

1.01

0.99–1.04

 

4799

4748.8

1.01

0.98–1.04

 

887

861.8

1.03

0.96–1.10

 

 [5–6.4[

54

54.1

1.00

0.76–1.30

 

45

44.7

1.01

0.75–1.35

 

9

8.2

1.10

0.57–2.12

 

 [6.4–9.34[

38

53.3

0.71

0.52–0.98

 

30

44.1

0.68

0.48–0.97

 

7

8.1

0.87

0.41–1.82

 

 [9.4–13.1[

42

51.1

0.82

0.61–1.11

 

39

42.2

0.92

0.67–1.26

 

3

7.6

0.39

0.13–1.22

 

  ≥ 13.1

46

57.6

0.80

0.60–1.07

 

38

47.6

0.80

0.58–1.10

 

7

8.6

0.81

0.39–1.70

 

Test of departure from log-linearity

    

0.36

    

0.38

    

0.35

SIRR for ∆x = 10%c

  

0.87

0.79–0.97

0.99

 

47.6

0.89

0.79–0.99

0.98

 

8.6

0.78

0.58–1.06

0.94

  1. AL Acute leukaemia, ALL Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia, AML Acute myeloid leukaemia, N Number of cases, O Observed number of cases, E Expected number of cases, SIR Standardized incidence ratio, 95% CI 95% Confidence interval,
  2. a The total crop density and the specific crop density in a municipality were defined as the ratio of the total area used for agriculture and the area used for the specific crop, respectively, over the total area of the municipality (based on national agricultural census data). Separate models were used for each specific crop as well as for total crops
  3. b p-value of the tests (chi-square test of heterogeneity between SIRs in categories of crop density, test for departure from the log-linearity hypothesis and, test for the slope parameter in the linear Poisson regression model, H0: β ≤ 0 vs H1: β > 0)
  4. c SIRR (for Δ x = 10%) = Relative Standardized Incidence Ratio: multiplicative variation in the SIR for a 10% increase in the crop density derived from a linear Poisson regression model, with adjustment on the size of urban unit (Paris vs other urban units) for AL and ALL