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Fig. 4 | Environmental Health

Fig. 4

From: Temperature and particulate matter as environmental factors associated with seasonality of influenza incidence – an approach using Earth observation-based modeling in a health insurance cohort study from Baden-Württemberg (Germany)

Fig. 4

Estimated cases in response to variation of environmental stressors. Estimations (and 95% their confidence intervals) were obtained with the R-function predict for the 5- to 95-percentile intervals of Temperature, Precipitation, PM2.5 and NO2 from the restricted model for 2013–2018 data. Here we display curves for the restricted model (excluding quarter as independent variable) with recent season set (from season 2012/13 onwards). Note that the other 3 statistical models yielded trend curves that are very similar to those displayed here. Also, including interaction terms e.g. for temperature and PM2.5 had no obvious bearing on the trend curves

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