Figure 6

The excess mortality predictions for a single hot day (non-heat wave day) for maximum daily temperatures at 31 C as compared to 26 C. The predictions include only the lag 0 effect over a range of different degrees of freedom of the main temperature-mortality relationship and: i) from a model with no added heat wave effect (model 1); ii) from a model with a heat wave duration parameter (model 2); iii) and from a model with the added heat wave effect as a dummy variable (model 3).