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Table 4 AIC values for the three models using 3 to 8 degrees of freedom for temperature and 2 to 6 degrees of freedom for lag, Stockholm, 1990–2002 in ages 80 years of age and above

From: On the estimation of heat-intensity and heat-duration effects in time series models of temperature-related mortality in Stockholm, Sweden

df Temperature Spline

No heat wave variable (model 1)

With heat wave duration variable (model 2)

With heat wave indicator variable (model 3)

 

df Lag Spline = 2

3

17962

17961

17957

4

17966

17965

17961

5

17970

17969

17965

6

17971

17970

17966

7

17974

17972

17968

8

17977

17975

17971

 

df Lag Spline = 4

3

17958

17960

17958

4

17959

17961

17961

5

17967

17969

17968

6

17971

17973

17972

7

17977

17979

17977

8

17982

17984

17983

 

df Lag Spline = 6

3

17958

17959

17957

4

17961

17963

17963

5

17972

17974

17974

6

17980

17981

17981

7

17989

17991

17990

8

17997

17999

17998