Table 3 Basic information on heat wave and the projected mortality losses during the period of 2051–2095 under four different scenarios in the studied areas
From: Mortality effects of heat waves vary by age and area: a multi-area study in China
Scenario | Studied areas | Avereage HWII (°C) | Annual average frequency | Annul Average mortality loss (per million) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age 0–64a | Age 65–a | Allb | ||||
RCP2.6 | I | 21.0 | 6 | 16.8 | 1576.1 | 506.2 |
II | 26.5 | 7 | 26.8 | 329.7 | 121.9 | |
III | 10.1 | 14 | 10.1 | 839.9 | 270.6 | |
RCP4.5 | I | 21.8 | 7 | 18.6 | 1753.9 | 563.3 |
II | 29.7 | 8 | 37.7 | 406.7 | 153.5 | |
III | 13.2 | 17 | 18.6 | 1382.4 | 446.7 | |
RCP6.0 | I | 27.2 | 8 | 28.9 | 2649.8 | 851.6 |
II | 33.4 | 8 | 45.2 | 445.8 | 171.0 | |
III | 14.1 | 17 | 20.0 | 1465.2 | 473.6 | |
RCP8.5 | I | 30.2 | 9 | 42.8 | 3861.6 | 1241.5 |
II | 44.4 | 10 | 89.6 | 679.3 | 274.7 | |
III | 23.0 | 20 | 45.6 | 3014.2 | 977.4 | |
Average | I | 25.0 | 7 | 26.8 | 2460.3 | 790.7 |
II | 33.5 | 8 | 49.8 | 465.4 | 180.3 | |
III | 15.1 | 17 | 23.6 | 1675.4 | 542.1 | |