Correction: Modification of the PM_2.5- and extreme heat-mortality relationships by historical redlining: A case-crossover study in thirteen U.S. states

Correction: Environ Health 23, 16 (2024)

https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-024-01055-5

Following publication of [1], errors were found in the code used to prepare the cohort for a case-crossover analysis and the resulting data that was used for the analysis. Despite these errors, results were only marginally effected and all conclusions remain the same. A few typos were also found in the manuscript. A table of all affected texts is shown below.

Section	Lines	Text
Abstract	48-51	Individuals who lived in redlined areas had an interaction odds ratio for mortality of 1.0093 1.0104 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.0084 1.0095, 1.0101 1.0114) for each 10 µg m-3 increase in same-day ambient PM2.5 compared to individuals who did not live in redlined areas. For extreme heat, the interaction odds ratio was 1.0218 1.0146 (95% CI 1.0031 1.0039, 1.0408 1.0457).
Methods	159-161	To derive measures of extreme heat, we first calculated various percentiles of minimum temperature in each block group in each year. For our main analysis, we considered the 95 th 90 th percentile.
Methods	163-165	In other words, if the minimum temperature on a certain day met or exceeded the 95 th 90 th percentile of minimum temperature in that block group in that year, then that day was marked as an extreme heat day.
Results	229-237	We obtained 11,115,380 11,076,020 mortality records from the twelve thirteen state departments of public health. From these records, we sequentially excluded 466,874 453,754 deaths involving external causes; 139,908 133,348 deaths involving individuals younger than 18 years old; 196,558 deaths with geocodes that were missing or coarser than block group-level; 331 deaths involving individuals whose home locations were outside of the state that reported their death; 1,392,423 1,372,743 deaths before January 5th, 2001 or after December 31st, 2016 and 537 deaths whose home block groups had a population of zero according to the preceding Decennial Census (for which 4-day moving averages of population-weighted PM2.5 could not be calculated); and 34,016 deaths with lag days from 0 to 4 that included December 31st on leap years (for which Daymet predictions are not available; Figure 3)
Results	272-278	We found a significant interaction with exposure to any extreme heat (interaction odds ratio 1.0218 1.0246; 95% CI 1.0031 1.0039, 1.0408 1.0457) while we did not observe significant interactions for singleton heat events or when looking at length-specific exposures. In absolute terms, this amounts to a 2.157% 2.434% (95% CI 0.307% 0.386%, 4.036% 4.521%) increase in the daily risk of death death from non-external causes by exposure to any extreme heat in historically-redlined neighborhoods compared to other neighborhoods. The highest overall effects were observed for exposure to any extreme heat, followed by 3, 1 2, and 2 1 consecutive days of extreme heat, respectively.
Results	283-287	We found a significant interaction with same-day ambient PM2.5 (interaction odds ratio for each 10 µg/m-3 increase: 1.0093 1.0104; 95% CI 1.0084 1.0095, 1.0101 1.0114) while we did not observe interactions for different moving averages of ambient PM2.5. In absolute terms, this amounts to a 0.930% 1.029% (95% CI 0.831% 0.940%, 1.000% 1.128%) increase in the daily risk of death from non-external causes for each 10 µg/m-3 increase in ambient PM2.5 in historically-redlined neighborhoods compared to other neighborhoods.
Results	295-296	However, for PM2.5, we did observe that the interaction with same-day ambient PM2.5 was not significant for a population cutoffs of 50% and 99%.
Results	302-305	We also observed that the 85th and 95th percentile cutoffs of minimum temperature had higher interactions than the 90th percentile cutoff on earlier days, with the 85th percentile being the highest for any exposure or the 1 st day of extreme heat and the 99th percentile being the highest for any exposure or the 1st or 2 nd days of extreme heat.

Firstly, 39,360 deaths from the raw data were duplicated (0.36% of total deaths), resulting in an erroneous Fig. 1 and numbers in the accompanying paragraph. However, the total number of deaths used for the analysis remained the same, though this was misreported in the original Fig. 1 (884,733 deaths rather than 8,884,733). A few percentages were also incorrect. The corrected Fig. 1 is shown below next to the original Fig. 1, followed by a table of changes in the text.

Original and corrected Fig. 1 with changed bolded.

Additionally, code that was meant to restrict control days only to those occurring in the same month of the case was not run, resulting in a mean of 7.91 controls for each case (SD: 0.57). After corrections, this was reduced to a mean of 3.38 controls per case (SD: 0.49). Unlike the previous error, this slightly altered the results, though only marginally. The corrected text, figures, and coefficient tables are presented below alongside what was originally reported. Old and new results are differentiated by different shades in the figures and changes in significance are noted in bold in the tables.

Original and corrected Fig. 4 combined.

Original and corrected Fig. 5 combined.

Original and corrected Fig. 6 combined.

Original and corrected Fig. 7 combined.

Original and corrected Fig. 8 combined.

Original and corrected Fig. 9 combined. The plots for “Whole population” originally showed results from the sensitivity analysis of 99% population cutoff for HOLC apportionment rather than the main analysis of 90%. As a result, the confidence intervals for the new results are smaller.

Original and corrected Fig. 10 combined.

Original and corrected Fig. 11 combined.

Original and corrected Fig. 12 combined.

Original and corrected Fig. 13 combined.

Original and corrected Fig. 14 combined.

Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement A.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%
Any day	1.013	1.0098	1.0161	< 0.05	1.0125	1.0090	1.0161	< 0.05
1st day	1.011	1.0062	1.0149	< 0.05	1.0093	1.0046	1.0139	< 0.05
2nd day	1.008	1.0025	1.0130	< 0.05	1.0091	1.0035	1.0148	< 0.05
3rd day	1.013	1.0064	1.0194	< 0.05	1.0139	1.0070	1.0210	< 0.05
Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%
Any day	1.013	1.0100	1.0164	< 0.05	1.0128	1.0093	1.0163	< 0.05
1st day	1.011	1.0065	1.0151	< 0.05	1.0096	1.0049	1.0142	< 0.05
2nd day	1.008	1.0028	1.0133	< 0.05	1.0091	1.0035	1.0148	< 0.05
3rd day	1.013	1.0070	1.0199	< 0.05	1.0146	1.0076	1.0215	< 0.05
Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%
Any day	1.013	1.0101	1.0164	< 0.05	1.0128	1.0093	1.0163	< 0.05
1st day	1.011	1.0064	1.0150	< 0.05	1.0095	1.0048	1.0141	< 0.05
2nd day	1.008	1.0028	1.0133	< 0.05	1.0092	1.0035	1.0148	< 0.05
3rd day	1.014	1.0071	1.0200	< 0.05	1.0146	1.0077	1.0216	< 0.05

Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement A.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%
Any day	1.0211	1.0059	1.0364	< 0.05	1.0232	1.0064	1.0402	< 0.05
1st day	1.0096	0.9867	1.0332	0.41	1.0155	0.9906	1.0411	0.23
2nd day	1.0206	0.9923	1.0496	0.16	1.0108	0.9808	1.0417	0.49
3rd day	1.0273	0.9926	1.0633	0.13	1.0247	0.9874	1.0634	0.20
Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%
Any day	1.0218	1.0031	1.0408	< 0.05	1.0246	1.0039	1.0457	< 0.05
1st day	1.0056	0.9773	1.0346	0.70	1.0100	0.9794	1.0415	0.53
2nd day	1.0195	0.9846	1.0557	0.28	1.0171	0.9797	1.0559	0.37
3rd day	1.0155	0.9731	1.0597	0.48	1.0094	0.9641	1.0568	0.69
Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%
Any day	1.0222	1.0021	1.0428	< 0.05	1.0259	1.0036	1.0487	< 0.05
1st day	1.0098	0.9793	1.0413	0.53	1.0168	0.9836	1.0510	0.32
2nd day	1.0208	0.9832	1.0599	0.28	1.0174	0.9772	1.0593	0.40
3rd day	1.0119	0.9664	1.0596	0.61	1.0061	0.9575	1.0572	0.81

Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement B.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Exposure	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%
Lag 0	1.0084	1.0082	1.0085	< 0.05	1.0081	1.0079	1.0083	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0102	1.0100	1.0103	< 0.05	1.0104	1.0102	1.0106	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0091	1.0089	1.0093	< 0.05	1.0096	1.0094	1.0098	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0078	1.0076	1.0080	< 0.05	1.0083	1.0081	1.0085	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0084	1.0082	1.0085	< 0.05	1.0074	1.0072	1.0077	< 0.05
Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%
Lag 0	1.0083	1.0082	1.0085	< 0.05	1.0080	1.0078	1.0082	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0101	1.0100	1.0103	< 0.05	1.0103	1.0101	1.0105	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0090	1.0088	1.0092	< 0.05	1.0096	1.0093	1.0098	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0077	1.0075	1.0079	< 0.05	1.0082	1.0080	1.0084	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0070	1.0068	1.0072	< 0.05	1.0073	1.0071	1.0076	< 0.05
Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%
Lag 0	1.0084	1.0082	1.0085	< 0.05	1.0081	1.0079	1.0082	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0101	1.0100	1.0103	< 0.05	1.0103	1.0101	1.0105	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0090	1.0088	1.0092	< 0.05	1.0096	1.0094	1.0098	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0077	1.0075	1.0079	< 0.05	1.0082	1.0080	1.0084	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0070	1.0068	1.0072	< 0.05	1.0074	1.0071	1.0076	< 0.05

Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement B.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Exposure	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Population cutoff for apportionment = 50%
Lag 0	1.0051	1.0044	1.0058	0.15	1.0049	1.0042	1.0057	0.2
Lags 0–1	1.0035	1.0027	1.0043	0.38	1.0028	1.0019	1.0037	0.52
Lags 0–2	1.0028	1.0020	1.0037	0.52	1.0034	1.0024	1.0044	0.48
Lags 0–3	1.0022	1.0012	1.0031	0.65	1.0031	1.0020	1.0041	0.57
Lags 0–4	1.0021	1.0011	1.0032	0.68	1.0024	1.0012	1.0035	0.69
Population cutoff for apportionment = 90%
Lag 0	1.0093	1.0084	1.0101	< 0.05	1.0104	1.0095	1.0114	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0069	1.0059	1.0078	0.15	1.0073	1.0063	1.0084	0.17
Lags 0–2	1.0061	1.0051	1.0072	0.26	1.0083	1.0071	1.0095	0.16
Lags 0–3	1.0057	1.0045	1.0069	0.34	1.0078	1.0065	1.0091	0.23
Lags 0–4	1.0064	1.0051	1.0076	0.32	1.0078	1.0064	1.0092	0.27
Population cutoff for apportionment = 99%
Lag 0	1.0088	1.0079	1.0098	0.05	1.0100	1.0090	1.0110	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0075	1.0065	1.0085	0.15	1.0082	1.0071	1.0093	0.15
Lags 0–2	1.0068	1.0056	1.0079	0.24	1.0091	1.0078	1.0103	0.15
Lags 0–3	1.0068	1.0056	1.0081	0.28	1.0087	1.0073	1.0100	0.22
Lags 0–4	1.0069	1.0055	1.0082	0.32	1.0077	1.0062	1.0092	0.32

Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement C.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 85th percentile
Any day	1.0109	1.0080	1.0138	< 0.05	1.0117	1.0084	1.0149	< 0.05
1st day	1.0069	1.0030	1.0109	< 0.05	1.0080	1.0037	1.0122	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0124	1.0077	1.0171	< 0.05	1.0135	1.0085	1.0186	< 0.05
3rd day	1.0079	1.0024	1.0133	< 0.05	1.0086	1.0028	1.0145	< 0.05
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 90th percentile
Any day	1.0132	1.0100	1.0164	< 0.05	1.0128	1.0093	1.0163	< 0.05
1st day	1.0108	1.0065	1.0151	< 0.05	1.0096	1.0049	1.0142	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0080	1.0028	1.0133	< 0.05	1.0091	1.0035	1.0148	< 0.05
3rd day	1.0134	1.0070	1.0199	< 0.05	1.0146	1.0076	1.0215	< 0.05
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 99th percentile
Any day	1.0217	1.0143	1.0292	< 0.05	1.0211	1.0130	1.0293	< 0.05
1st day	1.0181	1.0092	1.0271	< 0.05	1.0176	1.0080	1.0273	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0227	1.0081	1.0376	< 0.05	1.0193	1.0036	1.0353	< 0.05
3rd day	1.0501	1.0238	1.0771	< 0.05	1.0623	1.0336	1.0917	< 0.05

Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement C.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 85th percentile
Any day	1.0279	1.0109	1.045	< 0.05	1.0302	1.0110	1.0497	< 0.05
1st day	1.0340	1.0074	1.061	< 0.05	1.0378	1.0090	1.0674	< 0.05
2nd day	0.9972	0.9665	1.029	0.86	1.0001	0.9670	1.0344	1.00
3rd day	1.0142	0.9779	1.052	0.45	1.0052	0.9666	1.0454	0.79
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 90th percentile
Any day	1.0218	1.0031	1.041	< 0.05	1.0246	1.0039	1.0457	< 0.05
1st day	1.0056	0.9773	1.035	0.70	1.0100	0.9794	1.0415	0.53
2nd day	1.0195	0.9846	1.056	0.28	1.0171	0.9797	1.0559	0.37
3rd day	1.0155	0.9731	1.060	0.48	1.0094	0.9641	1.0568	0.69
Minimum temperature cutoff for extreme heat = 99th percentile
Any day	1.0266	0.9793	1.076	0.28	1.0350	0.9836	1.0892	0.19
1st day	1.0368	0.9793	1.098	0.21	1.0344	0.9727	1.1001	0.28
2nd day	1.0021	0.9081	1.106	0.97	1.0553	0.9482	1.1746	0.32
3rd day	1.0034	0.8419	1.196	0.97	0.9774	0.8095	1.1802	0.81

Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement D.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Whole population
Any day	1.0132	1.0100	1.0164	< 0.05	1.0128	1.0093	1.0163	< 0.05
1st day	1.0108	1.0065	1.0151	< 0.05	1.0096	1.0049	1.0142	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0080	1.0028	1.0133	< 0.05	1.0091	1.0035	1.0148	< 0.05
3rd day	1.0134	1.0070	1.0199	< 0.05	1.0146	1.0076	1.0215	< 0.05
Black individuals
Any day	1.0058	0.9956	1.0160	0.27	1.0052	0.9939	1.0165	0.37
1st day	1.0008	0.9872	1.0146	0.91	0.9984	0.9839	1.0132	0.83
2nd day	0.9975	0.9810	1.0141	0.76	0.9971	0.9794	1.0150	0.75
3rd day	1.0191	0.9988	1.0399	0.07	1.0209	0.9989	1.0433	0.06
> 50% Black neighborhoods
Any day	1.0067	0.9936	1.0201	0.32	1.0011	0.9865	1.0159	0.88
1st day	1.0086	0.9913	1.0261	0.33	1.0010	0.9826	1.0198	0.91
2nd day	1.0007	0.9801	1.0218	0.94	0.9969	0.9748	1.0195	0.78
3rd day	1.0133	0.9877	1.0395	0.31	1.0142	0.9867	1.0425	0.32
White individuals
Any day	1.0141	1.0107	1.0175	< 0.05	1.0139	1.0101	1.0177	< 0.05
1st day	1.0127	1.0080	1.0173	< 0.05	1.0118	1.0068	1.0168	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0089	1.0033	1.0145	< 0.05	1.0099	1.0038	1.0159	< 0.05
3rd day	1.0110	1.0041	1.0180	< 0.05	1.0123	1.0048	1.0198	< 0.05
> 50% White neighborhoods
Any day	1.0128	1.0093	1.0162	< 0.05	1.0125	1.0086	1.0163	< 0.05
1st day	1.0118	1.0071	1.0164	< 0.05	1.0110	1.0060	1.0161	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0060	1.0003	1.0116	< 0.05	1.0070	1.0009	1.0131	< 0.05
3rd day	1.0139	1.0069	1.0209	< 0.05	1.0148	1.0073	1.0224	< 0.05

Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement D.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Whole population
Any day	1.0218	1.0031	1.0408	< 0.05	1.0246	1.0039	1.0457	< 0.05
1st day	1.0056	0.9773	1.0346	0.70	1.0100	0.9794	1.0415	0.53
2nd day	1.0195	0.9846	1.0557	0.28	1.0171	0.9797	1.0559	0.37
3rd day	1.0155	0.9731	1.0597	0.48	1.0094	0.9641	1.0568	0.69
Black individuals
Any day	1.0043	0.9739	1.0356	0.79	1.0190	0.9850	1.0542	0.28
1st day	0.9977	0.9516	1.0460	0.92	1.0128	0.9624	1.0659	0.62
2nd day	1.0561	0.9978	1.1178	0.06	1.0625	0.9995	1.1295	0.05
3rd day	1.0099	0.9417	1.0830	0.78	1.0029	0.9304	1.0811	0.94
> 50% Black neighborhoods
Any day	1.0017	0.9685	1.0361	0.92	1.0193	0.9819	1.0580	0.32
1st day	0.9707	0.9216	1.0223	0.26	0.9962	0.9420	1.0537	0.9
2nd day	1.0399	0.9775	1.1062	0.22	1.0393	0.9724	1.1107	0.26
3rd day	1.0272	0.9520	1.1084	0.49	1.0236	0.9433	1.1108	0.58
White individuals
Any day	1.0403	1.0146	1.0667	< 0.05	1.0373	1.0090	1.0665	< 0.05
1st day	1.0262	0.9874	1.0666	0.19	1.0225	0.9808	1.0660	0.29
2nd day	0.9954	0.9487	1.0443	0.85	0.9894	0.9397	1.0418	0.69
3rd day	1.0327	0.9745	1.0944	0.28	1.0266	0.9643	1.0930	0.41
> 50% White neighborhoods
Any day	1.0383	1.0079	1.0695	< 0.05	1.0296	1.0038	1.0560	< 0.05
1st day	1.0359	0.9903	1.0836	0.12	1.0269	0.9890	1.0662	0.17
2nd day	1.0064	0.9516	1.0645	0.82	1.0051	0.9599	1.0524	0.83
3rd day	1.0259	0.9585	1.0980	0.46	1.0499	0.9927	1.1104	0.09

Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement E.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Whole population
Lag 0	1.0083	1.0082	1.0085	< 0.05	1.0080	1.0078	1.0082	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0101	1.0100	1.0103	< 0.05	1.0103	1.0101	1.0105	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0090	1.0088	1.0092	< 0.05	1.0096	1.0093	1.0098	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0077	1.0075	1.0079	< 0.05	1.0082	1.0080	1.0084	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0070	1.0068	1.0072	< 0.05	1.0073	1.0071	1.0076	< 0.05
Black individuals
Lag 0	1.0117	1.0112	1.0121	< 0.05	1.0105	1.0100	1.0110	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0130	1.0124	1.0135	< 0.05	1.0125	1.0120	1.0131	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0130	1.0124	1.0136	< 0.05	1.0139	1.0132	1.0145	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0128	1.0122	1.0134	< 0.05	1.0145	1.0138	1.0152	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0127	1.0121	1.0134	< 0.05	1.0152	1.0145	1.0160	< 0.05
> 50% Black neighborhoods
Lag 0	1.0065	1.0059	1.0071	< 0.05	1.0067	1.0060	1.0073	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0060	1.0053	1.0066	0.08	1.0072	1.0065	1.0079	0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0061	1.0053	1.0068	0.10	1.0092	1.0084	1.0100	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0039	1.0031	1.0047	0.34	1.0081	1.0072	1.0090	0.07
Lags 0–4	1.0019	1.0011	1.0028	0.66	1.0076	1.0067	1.0086	0.12
White individuals
Lag 0	1.0081	1.0079	1.0082	< 0.05	1.0080	1.0078	1.0081	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0100	1.0098	1.0101	< 0.05	1.0104	1.0102	1.0106	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0086	1.0084	1.0088	< 0.05	1.0093	1.0091	1.0096	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0071	1.0069	1.0073	< 0.05	1.0078	1.0076	1.0081	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0063	1.0061	1.0066	< 0.05	1.0069	1.0067	1.0072	< 0.05
> 50% White neighborhoods
Lag 0	1.0079	1.0077	1.0081	< 0.05	1.0083	1.0082	1.0085	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0098	1.0096	1.0100	< 0.05	1.0108	1.0106	1.0110	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0082	1.0080	1.0084	< 0.05	1.0096	1.0094	1.0098	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0067	1.0065	1.0069	< 0.05	1.0081	1.0078	1.0083	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0058	1.0056	1.0061	< 0.05	1.0072	1.0070	1.0075	< 0.05

Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement E.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
Whole population
Lag 0	1.0093	1.0084	1.0101	< 0.05	1.0104	1.0095	1.0114	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0069	1.0059	1.0078	0.15	1.0073	1.0063	1.0084	0.17
Lags 0–2	1.0061	1.0051	1.0072	0.26	1.0083	1.0071	1.0095	0.16
Lags 0–3	1.0057	1.0045	1.0069	0.34	1.0078	1.0065	1.0091	0.23
Lags 0–4	1.0064	1.0051	1.0076	0.32	1.0078	1.0064	1.0092	0.27
Black individuals
Lag 0	1.0020	1.0006	1.0034	0.78	1.0074	1.0059	1.0090	0.34
Lags 0–1	1.0004	0.9988	1.0020	0.96	1.0053	1.0036	1.0071	0.55
Lags 0–2	1.0024	1.0006	1.0042	0.79	1.0093	1.0073	1.0113	0.35
Lags 0–3	1.0028	1.0008	1.0047	0.78	1.0091	1.0069	1.0113	0.41
Lags 0–4	1.0041	1.0020	1.0063	0.70	1.0086	1.0063	1.0110	0.47
> 50% Black neighborhoods
Lag 0	1.0099	1.0084	1.0114	0.20	1.0164	1.0147	1.0180	0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0108	1.0091	1.0126	0.22	1.0191	1.0172	1.0210	0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0084	1.0064	1.0103	0.40	1.0212	1.0190	1.0234	0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0081	1.0060	1.0103	0.46	1.0226	1.0202	1.0250	0.06
Lags 0–4	1.0093	1.0069	1.0116	0.44	1.0230	1.0204	1.0257	0.08
White individuals
Lag 0	1.0115	1.0103	1.0126	< 0.05	1.0117	1.0104	1.0129	0.07
Lags 0–1	1.0106	1.0093	1.0119	0.11	1.0099	1.0084	1.0113	0.17
Lags 0–2	1.0080	1.0066	1.0094	0.27	1.0083	1.0067	1.0099	0.30
Lags 0–3	1.0065	1.0049	1.0081	0.42	1.0064	1.0047	1.0081	0.47
Lags 0–4	1.0065	1.0048	1.0082	0.46	1.0069	1.0050	1.0088	0.47
> 50% White neighborhoods
Lag 0	1.0049	1.0035	1.0063	0.48	1.0069	1.0054	1.0084	0.37
Lags 0–1	1.0021	1.0006	1.0037	0.79	1.0017	1.0000	1.0034	0.85
Lags 0–2	1.0007	0.9990	1.0025	0.94	0.9996	0.9977	1.0016	0.97
Lags 0–3	0.9989	0.9970	1.0009	0.91	0.9968	0.9947	0.9990	0.77
Lags 0–4	0.9963	0.9942	0.9984	0.73	0.9951	0.9928	0.9975	0.68

Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement F.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
California
Any day	1.0150	1.0087	1.0214	< 0.05	1.2317	1.2232	1.2403	< 0.05
1st day	1.0166	1.0069	1.0264	< 0.05	1.2076	1.1952	1.2202	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0024	0.9906	1.0142	0.69	1.0891	1.0753	1.1030	0.19
3rd day	1.0117	0.9973	1.0262	0.11	1.1726	1.1547	1.1908	< 0.05
Florida
Any day	1.0042	0.9956	1.0129	0.34	1.0208	1.0111	1.0306	0.67
1st day	1.0066	0.9968	1.0164	0.19	1.0338	1.0231	1.0447	0.53
2nd day	0.9954	0.9833	1.0077	0.46	0.9616	0.9490	0.9744	0.56
3rd day	1.0053	0.9898	1.0210	0.51	1.0157	0.9989	1.0328	0.85
Georgia
Any day	0.9935	0.9658	1.0219	0.65	0.9617	0.9319	0.9924	0.81
1st day	0.9909	0.9589	1.0239	0.58	0.9385	0.9056	0.9726	0.73
2nd day	1.0154	0.9767	1.0557	0.44	1.3822	1.3251	1.4418	0.13
3rd day	0.9768	0.9333	1.0224	0.31	0.7916	0.7537	0.8314	0.35
Illinois
Any day	0.9945	0.9805	1.0087	0.45	0.9659	0.9511	0.9809	0.66
1st day	1.0089	0.9944	1.0235	0.23	1.1091	1.0921	1.1264	0.19
2nd day	0.9912	0.9740	1.0087	0.32	0.9506	0.9329	0.9685	0.60
3rd day	1.0148	0.9933	1.0368	0.18	1.1250	1.0996	1.1511	0.31
Indiana
Any day	0.9819	0.9385	1.0273	0.43	0.6862	0.6534	0.7207	0.13
1st day	1.0208	0.9802	1.0631	0.32	1.0518	1.0066	1.0991	0.82
2nd day	1.0022	0.9552	1.0515	0.93	0.8497	0.8069	0.8948	0.54
3rd day	0.9960	0.9364	1.0594	0.90	1.0909	1.0211	1.1655	0.80
Kansas
Any day	1.0164	0.9618	1.0741	0.56	1.2327	1.1602	1.3096	0.50
1st day	0.9920	0.9349	1.0525	0.79	0.8290	0.7780	0.8835	0.56
2nd day	0.9833	0.9118	1.0604	0.66	0.8378	0.7723	0.9088	0.67
3rd day	0.9584	0.8742	1.0508	0.37	0.7700	0.6972	0.8503	0.61
Massachusetts
Any day	1.0090	0.9933	1.0249	0.26	1.0228	1.0055	1.0404	0.80
1st day	1.0293	1.0141	1.0447	< 0.05	1.2644	1.2444	1.2847	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0068	0.9888	1.0251	0.46	1.0798	1.0591	1.1009	0.44
3rd day	0.9766	0.9544	0.9993	< 0.05	0.8990	0.8771	0.9215	0.40
Michigan
Any day	0.9947	0.9771	1.0126	0.56	0.9648	0.9464	0.9835	0.72
1st day	1.0077	0.9905	1.0251	0.38	1.1096	1.0892	1.1304	0.27
2nd day	1.0106	0.9898	1.0319	0.32	1.2030	1.1763	1.2302	0.11
3rd day	1.0044	0.9786	1.0309	0.74	0.9753	0.9486	1.0028	0.86
Missouri
Any day	1.0208	0.9980	1.0441	0.07	1.0411	1.0155	1.0673	0.75
1st day	1.0145	0.9912	1.0384	0.22	1.0484	1.0227	1.0747	0.71
2nd day	1.0190	0.9908	1.0480	0.19	1.1461	1.1121	1.1812	0.37
3rd day	1.0287	0.9959	1.0625	0.09	1.2878	1.2440	1.3332	0.15
New Hampshire
Any day	1.0007	0.9561	1.0474	0.98	0.8465	0.8054	0.8897	0.51
1st day	0.9961	0.9545	1.0395	0.86	0.8501	0.8122	0.8899	0.49
2nd day	1.0596	1.0053	1.1167	< 0.05	1.5480	1.4627	1.6383	0.13
3rd day	0.9796	0.9140	1.0499	0.56	0.8454	0.7847	0.9108	0.66
New Jersey
Any day	0.9732	0.9510	0.9959	< 0.05	0.7422	0.7236	0.7612	< 0.05
1st day	0.9871	0.9649	1.0099	0.27	0.8486	0.8281	0.8695	0.19
2nd day	1.0011	0.9740	1.0289	0.94	1.0317	1.0019	1.0623	0.83
3rd day	1.0080	0.9756	1.0415	0.63	1.1852	1.1442	1.2277	0.34
Ohio
Any day	1.0083	0.9917	1.0251	0.33	1.1022	1.0827	1.1220	0.28
1st day	1.0096	0.9938	1.0257	0.23	1.1219	1.1030	1.1411	0.18
2nd day	1.0104	0.9919	1.0293	0.27	1.0785	1.0573	1.1002	0.46
3rd day	1.0015	0.9789	1.0246	0.90	1.0670	1.0411	1.0937	0.61
Texas
Any day	1.0015	0.9933	1.0097	0.73	0.9984	0.9894	1.0075	0.97
1st day	0.9931	0.9827	1.0035	0.19	0.9285	0.9181	0.9391	0.20
2nd day	1.0053	0.9925	1.0183	0.42	1.0396	1.0253	1.0540	0.58
3rd day	1.0240	1.0086	1.0398	< 0.05	1.2998	1.2787	1.3213	< 0.05

Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement F.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
California
Any day	1.0239	0.9882	1.0607	0.19	1.3192	1.2689	1.3716	0.16
1st day	0.9851	0.9306	1.0429	0.61	0.8294	0.7802	0.8817	0.55
2nd day	1.0389	0.9679	1.1151	0.29	1.5664	1.4515	1.6905	0.25
3rd day	1.0402	0.9549	1.1331	0.37	1.4147	1.2893	1.5523	0.46
Florida
Any day	1.0089	0.9381	1.0849	0.81	1.0615	0.9789	1.1510	0.89
1st day	0.8867	0.7949	0.9891	< 0.05	0.2448	0.2178	0.2751	< 0.05
2nd day	0.9972	0.8718	1.1407	0.97	0.8372	0.7250	0.9667	0.81
3rd day	1.1187	0.9424	1.3279	0.20	3.5029	2.9067	4.2214	0.19
Georgia
Any day	1.0635	0.8713	1.2982	0.54	2.3353	1.8653	2.9237	0.46
1st day	1.0903	0.7976	1.4905	0.59	3.1935	2.2622	4.5081	0.51
2nd day	0.8493	0.5684	1.2689	0.43	0.0714	0.0467	0.1092	0.22
3rd day	1.3865	0.8795	2.1856	0.16	43.2690	26.2281	71.3815	0.14
Illinois
Any day	1.0152	0.9739	1.0583	0.48	1.2365	1.1810	1.2946	0.37
1st day	0.9766	0.9163	1.0409	0.47	0.9484	0.8853	1.0161	0.88
2nd day	1.0812	1.0024	1.1663	< 0.05	2.3017	2.1222	2.4964	< 0.05
3rd day	0.9878	0.8984	1.0860	0.80	0.7562	0.6837	0.8365	0.59
Indiana
Any day	1.0256	0.8980	1.1713	0.71	1.2758	1.1030	1.4755	0.74
1st day	0.9508	0.7765	1.1641	0.62	0.8328	0.6673	1.0394	0.87
2nd day	1.0904	0.8633	1.3773	0.47	3.1247	2.4260	4.0246	0.38
3rd day	1.0593	0.8005	1.4017	0.69	0.7652	0.5657	1.0351	0.86
Kansas
Any day	0.9867	0.7948	1.2248	0.90	0.5135	0.4006	0.6583	0.60
1st day	1.0590	0.7564	1.4827	0.74	1.4871	1.0361	2.1343	0.83
2nd day	0.7153	0.4172	1.2265	0.22	0.0206	0.0117	0.0365	0.18
3rd day	0.6994	0.3742	1.3071	0.26	0.0222	0.0115	0.0430	0.26
Massachusetts
Any day	1.0336	0.9793	1.0909	0.23	1.6045	1.5096	1.7055	0.13
1st day	1.0332	0.9530	1.1201	0.43	1.5079	1.3818	1.6455	0.36
2nd day	1.0112	0.9175	1.1144	0.82	1.2129	1.0928	1.3462	0.72
3rd day	1.0376	0.9195	1.1708	0.55	1.0991	0.9656	1.2511	0.89
Michigan
Any day	0.9166	0.8583	0.9788	< 0.05	0.4083	0.3801	0.4386	< 0.05
1st day	0.9491	0.8608	1.0464	0.29	0.6647	0.5979	0.7389	0.45
2nd day	0.9356	0.8298	1.0550	0.28	0.3779	0.3321	0.4300	0.14
3rd day	0.9029	0.7768	1.0493	0.18	0.4820	0.4108	0.5655	0.37
Missouri
Any day	1.0474	0.9477	1.1576	0.36	2.1684	1.9404	2.4231	0.17
1st day	1.0663	0.9074	1.2532	0.44	2.2724	1.9092	2.7047	0.36
2nd day	1.0331	0.8472	1.2597	0.75	2.5343	2.0453	3.1401	0.40
3rd day	1.0194	0.8148	1.2753	0.87	2.1669	1.6973	2.7665	0.53
New Hampshire
Any day	0.7292	0.4301	1.2364	0.24	0.0331	0.0184	0.0596	0.26
1st day	1.1650	0.5956	2.2786	0.66	0.6494	0.3223	1.3085	0.90
2nd day	0.2818	0.0671	1.1839	0.08	0.0000	0.0000	0.0002	0.18
3rd day	0.7075	0.1639	3.0548	0.64	15.2258	2.9415	78.8129	0.75
New Jersey
Any day	1.0203	0.9514	1.0942	0.57	0.9928	0.9172	1.0747	0.99
1st day	1.1206	1.0069	1.2471	< 0.05	2.2716	2.0244	2.5489	0.16
2nd day	0.9623	0.8421	1.0996	0.57	0.5515	0.4784	0.6358	0.41
3rd day	0.9680	0.8248	1.1361	0.69	0.8477	0.7117	1.0096	0.85
Ohio
Any day	1.0632	0.9809	1.1524	0.14	1.9883	1.8221	2.1698	0.12
1st day	1.0894	0.9608	1.2353	0.18	2.9294	2.5535	3.3606	0.13
2nd day	1.1124	0.9623	1.2860	0.15	2.5414	2.1701	2.9762	0.25
3rd day	0.8973	0.7475	1.0771	0.24	0.3504	0.2876	0.4270	0.30
Texas
Any day	1.0671	0.9958	1.1435	0.07	1.7130	1.5864	1.8497	0.17
1st day	1.0600	0.9544	1.1772	0.28	2.0693	1.8455	2.3202	0.21
2nd day	0.9206	0.8023	1.0563	0.24	0.3139	0.2708	0.3637	0.12
3rd day	1.1452	0.9800	1.3382	0.09	2.3357	1.9744	2.7630	0.32

Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement G.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Exposure	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
California
Lag 0	1.0116	1.0113	1.0119	< 0.05	1.0051	1.0047	1.0054	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0131	1.0128	1.0135	< 0.05	1.0058	1.0055	1.0062	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0136	1.0132	1.0139	< 0.05	1.0055	1.0051	1.0059	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0146	1.0142	1.0149	< 0.05	1.0053	1.0049	1.0057	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0163	1.0160	1.0167	< 0.05	1.0055	1.0051	1.0059	< 0.05
Florida
Lag 0	0.9980	0.9975	0.9984	0.41	1.0018	1.0012	1.0023	0.52
Lags 0–1	0.9967	0.9962	0.9972	0.23	1.0013	1.0007	1.0019	0.67
Lags 0–2	0.9963	0.9957	0.9969	0.23	1.0019	1.0013	1.0026	0.57
Lags 0–3	0.9943	0.9937	0.9950	0.09	1.0020	1.0013	1.0027	0.59
Lags 0–4	0.9920	0.9913	0.9927	< 0.05	1.0021	1.0013	1.0029	0.60
Georgia
Lag 0	0.9896	0.9885	0.9907	0.07	1.0006	0.9994	1.0018	0.92
Lags 0–1	0.9831	0.9819	0.9844	< 0.05	0.9993	0.9979	1.0007	0.92
Lags 0–2	0.9856	0.9842	0.9870	< 0.05	1.0089	1.0073	1.0105	0.27
Lags 0–3	0.9829	0.9814	0.9844	< 0.05	1.0082	1.0065	1.0099	0.35
Lags 0–4	0.9818	0.9802	0.9834	< 0.05	1.0085	1.0066	1.0104	0.37
Illinois
Lag 0	1.0043	1.0039	1.0048	0.07	1.0091	1.0086	1.0096	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0051	1.0045	1.0056	0.06	1.0118	1.0112	1.0124	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0025	1.0019	1.0031	0.40	1.0114	1.0107	1.0121	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	0.9992	0.9986	0.9999	0.82	1.0098	1.0091	1.0105	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	0.9951	0.9944	0.9958	0.16	1.0071	1.0063	1.0078	0.08
Indiana
Lag 0	0.9706	0.9695	0.9718	< 0.05	0.9956	0.9942	0.9970	0.53
Lags 0–1	0.9639	0.9626	0.9653	< 0.05	0.9991	0.9975	1.0007	0.91
Lags 0–2	0.9607	0.9592	0.9621	< 0.05	1.0012	0.9995	1.0030	0.89
Lags 0–3	0.9583	0.9567	0.9599	< 0.05	1.0033	1.0014	1.0051	0.74
Lags 0–4	0.9601	0.9583	0.9619	< 0.05	1.0101	1.0080	1.0121	0.34
Kansas
Lag 0	1.0279	1.0258	1.0300	< 0.05	1.0405	1.0381	1.0428	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0121	1.0097	1.0144	0.31	1.0243	1.0217	1.0270	0.07
Lags 0–2	0.9969	0.9944	0.9995	0.81	1.0084	1.0056	1.0113	0.56
Lags 0–3	0.9829	0.9801	0.9856	0.22	0.9970	0.9939	1.0001	0.85
Lags 0–4	0.9739	0.9710	0.9769	0.09	0.9914	0.9881	0.9948	0.62
Massachusetts
Lag 0	1.0099	1.0093	1.0104	< 0.05	1.0087	1.0081	1.0093	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0166	1.0160	1.0173	< 0.05	1.0162	1.0154	1.0169	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0149	1.0142	1.0157	< 0.05	1.0162	1.0154	1.0170	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0134	1.0126	1.0142	< 0.05	1.0151	1.0142	1.0161	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0106	1.0097	1.0114	< 0.05	1.0118	1.0108	1.0128	< 0.05
Michigan
Lag 0	1.0049	1.0044	1.0055	0.09	1.0121	1.0114	1.0127	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0093	1.0087	1.0100	< 0.05	1.0191	1.0184	1.0199	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0072	1.0064	1.0079	0.06	1.0175	1.0166	1.0183	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0040	1.0032	1.0048	0.33	1.0128	1.0119	1.0137	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0024	1.0015	1.0033	0.59	1.0096	1.0086	1.0106	0.06
Missouri
Lag 0	1.0174	1.0165	1.0183	< 0.05	1.0112	1.0102	1.0121	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0190	1.0180	1.0200	< 0.05	1.0123	1.0111	1.0134	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0177	1.0166	1.0188	< 0.05	1.0116	1.0104	1.0128	0.06
Lags 0–3	1.0145	1.0133	1.0157	< 0.05	1.0080	1.0067	1.0094	0.23
Lags 0–4	1.0078	1.0065	1.0091	0.23	1.0034	1.0020	1.0048	0.64
New Hampshire
Lag 0	1.0243	1.0222	1.0265	< 0.05	1.0283	1.0259	1.0307	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0183	1.0158	1.0209	0.15	1.0229	1.0201	1.0258	0.11
Lags 0–2	1.0098	1.0070	1.0127	0.50	1.0108	1.0077	1.0140	0.5
Lags 0–3	0.9932	0.9902	0.9963	0.67	0.9889	0.9855	0.9924	0.53
Lags 0–4	0.9899	0.9866	0.9932	0.55	0.9857	0.9819	0.9895	0.46
New Jersey
Lag 0	1.0152	1.0146	1.0159	< 0.05	1.0106	1.0099	1.0113	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0152	1.0144	1.0159	< 0.05	1.0138	1.0130	1.0146	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0121	1.0112	1.0129	< 0.05	1.0134	1.0125	1.0144	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0095	1.0086	1.0105	< 0.05	1.0129	1.0118	1.0139	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0064	1.0054	1.0074	0.22	1.0113	1.0101	1.0124	0.05
Ohio
Lag 0	1.0088	1.0083	1.0094	< 0.05	1.0077	1.0071	1.0083	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0096	1.0090	1.0102	< 0.05	1.0091	1.0084	1.0098	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0058	1.0051	1.0065	0.09	1.0041	1.0033	1.0048	0.29
Lags 0–3	1.0030	1.0022	1.0037	0.43	0.9996	0.9988	1.0005	0.93
Lags 0–4	1.0008	1.0000	1.0016	0.85	0.9956	0.9947	0.9965	0.34
Texas
Lag 0	1.0087	1.0082	1.0092	< 0.05	1.0107	1.0102	1.0112	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0096	1.0091	1.0102	< 0.05	1.0126	1.0121	1.0132	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0049	1.0043	1.0055	0.09	1.0087	1.0081	1.0093	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0012	1.0006	1.0019	0.69	1.0059	1.0053	1.0066	0.09
Lags 0–4	0.9999	0.9993	1.0006	0.98	1.0062	1.0055	1.0070	0.10

Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement G.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Exposure	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
California
Lag 0	1.0131	1.0115	1.0147	0.12	1.0096	1.0079	1.0114	0.29
Lags 0–1	1.0063	1.0046	1.0081	0.49	1.0009	0.9989	1.0029	0.93
Lags 0–2	1.0064	1.0045	1.0084	0.52	1.0018	0.9996	1.0039	0.87
Lags 0–3	1.0076	1.0055	1.0097	0.48	1.0018	0.9995	1.0041	0.88
Lags 0–4	1.0114	1.0092	1.0137	0.32	1.0024	0.9999	1.0049	0.85
Florida
Lag 0	1.0115	1.0065	1.0165	0.65	1.0098	1.0044	1.0152	0.72
Lags 0–1	1.0002	0.9946	1.0058	0.99	0.9966	0.9905	1.0027	0.91
Lags 0–2	0.9885	0.9824	0.9947	0.72	0.9857	0.9789	0.9925	0.68
Lags 0–3	0.9952	0.9886	1.0019	0.89	0.9890	0.9817	0.9964	0.77
Lags 0–4	1.0230	1.0159	1.0302	0.52	1.0164	1.0085	1.0244	0.68
Georgia
Lag 0	1.0284	1.0187	1.0383	0.56	1.0402	1.0292	1.0513	0.47
Lags 0–1	1.0243	1.0134	1.0353	0.66	1.0457	1.0331	1.0585	0.47
Lags 0–2	1.0373	1.0251	1.0496	0.54	1.0619	1.0476	1.0764	0.39
Lags 0–3	1.0495	1.0361	1.0631	0.46	1.0869	1.0710	1.1030	0.27
Lags 0–4	1.0644	1.0499	1.0792	0.37	1.1123	1.0947	1.1301	0.19
Illinois
Lag 0	1.0071	1.0054	1.0089	0.42	1.0145	1.0125	1.0164	0.14
Lags 0–1	1.0075	1.0055	1.0095	0.46	1.0157	1.0135	1.0180	0.16
Lags 0–2	1.0081	1.0058	1.0104	0.48	1.0193	1.0168	1.0218	0.13
Lags 0–3	1.0058	1.0033	1.0083	0.65	1.0164	1.0136	1.0192	0.25
Lags 0–4	1.0031	1.0004	1.0059	0.82	1.0126	1.0096	1.0157	0.42
Indiana
Lag 0	1.0775	1.0720	1.0830	< 0.05	1.0856	1.0797	1.0917	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0781	1.0719	1.0843	< 0.05	1.0804	1.0737	1.0872	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0657	1.0589	1.0725	0.05	1.0595	1.0521	1.0669	0.1
Lags 0–3	1.0581	1.0507	1.0655	0.11	1.0484	1.0405	1.0564	0.22
Lags 0–4	1.0586	1.0506	1.0667	0.14	1.0490	1.0405	1.0577	0.25
Kansas
Lag 0	0.9561	0.9444	0.9680	0.48	0.9625	0.9495	0.9756	0.58
Lags 0–1	0.9770	0.9634	0.9908	0.74	0.9981	0.9827	1.0138	0.98
Lags 0–2	1.0025	0.9873	1.0180	0.97	1.0254	1.0081	1.0431	0.77
Lags 0–3	1.0396	1.0225	1.0570	0.65	1.0873	1.0673	1.1077	0.38
Lags 0–4	1.0649	1.0460	1.0840	0.49	1.1367	1.1140	1.1598	0.21
Massachusetts
Lag 0	0.9984	0.9960	1.0009	0.90	0.9968	0.9941	0.9995	0.82
Lags 0–1	1.0046	1.0017	1.0075	0.76	1.0036	1.0004	1.0068	0.83
Lags 0–2	0.9955	0.9922	0.9988	0.79	0.9970	0.9933	1.0007	0.87
Lags 0–3	0.9887	0.9851	0.9923	0.54	0.9894	0.9853	0.9935	0.61
Lags 0–4	0.9839	0.9800	0.9879	0.43	0.9851	0.9807	0.9896	0.52
Michigan
Lag 0	1.0121	1.0093	1.0149	0.39	1.0197	1.0167	1.0228	0.2
Lags 0–1	1.0026	0.9995	1.0057	0.87	1.0094	1.0060	1.0129	0.59
Lags 0–2	1.0060	1.0024	1.0095	0.74	1.0118	1.0079	1.0157	0.55
Lags 0–3	1.0059	1.0020	1.0098	0.77	1.0105	1.0062	1.0147	0.63
Lags 0–4	1.0052	1.0010	1.0095	0.81	1.0127	1.0081	1.0174	0.59
Missouri
Lag 0	1.0262	1.0206	1.0319	0.35	1.0412	1.0349	1.0475	0.19
Lags 0–1	1.0195	1.0132	1.0258	0.54	1.0253	1.0183	1.0324	0.47
Lags 0–2	1.0311	1.0241	1.0381	0.38	1.0473	1.0394	1.0553	0.23
Lags 0–3	1.0159	1.0084	1.0235	0.68	1.0407	1.0321	1.0494	0.35
Lags 0–4	0.9988	0.9909	1.0069	0.98	1.0288	1.0196	1.0381	0.54
New Hampshire
Lag 0	1.0593	1.0313	1.0881	0.67	1.1049	1.0732	1.1375	0.5
Lags 0–1	0.9618	0.9318	0.9928	0.81	0.9531	0.9205	0.9868	0.79
Lags 0–2	0.9259	0.8930	0.9601	0.68	0.8824	0.8480	0.9182	0.54
Lags 0–3	0.8920	0.8570	0.9284	0.58	0.8629	0.8255	0.9020	0.51
Lags 0–4	0.7826	0.7483	0.8185	0.28	0.7777	0.7403	0.8169	0.32
New Jersey
Lag 0	0.9974	0.9950	0.9999	0.84	0.9950	0.9924	0.9977	0.71
Lags 0–1	0.9943	0.9915	0.9972	0.69	0.9890	0.9859	0.9920	0.48
Lags 0–2	0.9920	0.9888	0.9952	0.63	0.9898	0.9863	0.9933	0.57
Lags 0–3	0.9906	0.9870	0.9943	0.61	0.9920	0.9881	0.9960	0.69
Lags 0–4	0.9878	0.9839	0.9918	0.55	0.9899	0.9855	0.9942	0.65
Ohio
Lag 0	0.9978	0.9942	1.0013	0.90	0.9990	0.9952	1.0028	0.96
Lags 0–1	0.9976	0.9937	1.0017	0.91	1.0002	0.9959	1.0045	0.99
Lags 0–2	0.9937	0.9893	0.9982	0.78	0.9961	0.9913	1.0009	0.87
Lags 0–3	0.9977	0.9928	1.0027	0.93	1.0005	0.9951	1.0058	0.99
Lags 0–4	1.0000	0.9946	1.0054	1.00	1.0018	0.9960	1.0077	0.95
Texas
Lag 0	0.9901	0.9853	0.9949	0.69	0.9684	0.9634	0.9735	0.23
Lags 0–1	0.9836	0.9782	0.9891	0.56	0.9667	0.9609	0.9725	0.27
Lags 0–2	0.9861	0.9800	0.9921	0.65	0.9765	0.9699	0.9831	0.49
Lags 0–3	0.9957	0.9891	1.0023	0.90	0.9855	0.9783	0.9928	0.7
Lags 0–4	1.0081	1.0010	1.0154	0.82	0.9958	0.9879	1.0037	0.92

Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement H.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
2000
Any day	0.9485	0.8922	1.0084	0.09	0.4763	0.4465	0.5081	< 0.05
1st day	1.0005	0.9456	1.0587	0.99	0.8542	0.8043	0.9073	0.61
2nd day	0.9966	0.9280	1.0702	0.92	0.7894	0.7312	0.8523	0.55
3rd day	0.9807	0.8987	1.0703	0.66	1.0744	0.9767	1.1818	0.88
2001
Any day	0.9800	0.9237	1.0397	0.50	0.6833	0.6401	0.7294	0.25
1st day	1.0296	0.9751	1.0872	0.29	1.0925	1.0298	1.1589	0.77
2nd day	1.0372	0.9683	1.1110	0.30	1.9251	1.7879	2.0728	0.08
3rd day	0.9641	0.8776	1.0591	0.45	0.8348	0.7553	0.9226	0.72
2002
Any day	0.9943	0.9341	1.0585	0.86	1.0278	0.9618	1.0983	0.94
1st day	0.9934	0.9368	1.0534	0.82	0.9970	0.9345	1.0637	0.99
2nd day	0.9974	0.9289	1.0709	0.94	0.8534	0.7901	0.9219	0.69
3rd day	0.9641	0.8776	1.0591	0.45	0.5669	0.5068	0.6343	0.32
2003
Any day	0.9973	0.9315	1.0677	0.94	0.9187	0.8514	0.9912	0.83
1st day	1.0660	1.0017	1.1344	< 0.05	1.6054	1.5012	1.7169	0.17
2nd day	0.9674	0.8944	1.0463	0.41	0.6832	0.6288	0.7423	0.37
3rd day	0.9424	0.8576	1.0355	0.22	0.4967	0.4496	0.5488	0.17
2004
Any day	1.0521	1.0106	1.0953	< 0.05	1.4140	1.3538	1.4770	0.12
1st day	1.0301	0.9911	1.0706	0.13	1.1508	1.1043	1.1993	0.50
2nd day	1.0119	0.9655	1.0606	0.62	1.3339	1.2687	1.4025	0.26
3rd day	1.0559	0.9986	1.1164	0.06	1.7391	1.6377	1.8468	0.07
2005
Any day	0.9626	0.9226	1.0043	0.08	0.5985	0.5712	0.6271	< 0.05
1st day	0.9893	0.9503	1.0299	0.60	0.9058	0.8673	0.9459	0.65
2nd day	0.9827	0.9368	1.0309	0.47	0.6965	0.6617	0.7331	0.17
3rd day	0.9788	0.9238	1.0370	0.47	0.9771	0.9176	1.0405	0.94
2006
Any day	1.0057	0.9631	1.0502	0.80	1.1723	1.1160	1.2314	0.53
1st day	1.0389	0.9929	1.0871	0.10	1.9436	1.8524	2.0393	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0106	0.9600	1.0639	0.69	1.1397	1.0798	1.2029	0.63
3rd day	0.9787	0.9237	1.0370	0.47	0.9307	0.8750	0.9900	0.82
2007
Any day	1.0045	0.9928	1.0164	0.45	1.1170	1.1022	1.1320	0.10
1st day	1.0103	0.9953	1.0256	0.18	1.0935	1.0760	1.1113	0.28
2nd day	0.9876	0.9695	1.0060	0.18	0.9083	0.8905	0.9265	0.34
3rd day	1.0092	0.9868	1.0322	0.42	1.2268	1.1974	1.2568	0.10
2008
Any day	1.0028	0.9919	1.0139	0.61	1.0166	1.0043	1.0290	0.79
1st day	0.9990	0.9845	1.0136	0.89	0.9874	0.9719	1.0031	0.87
2nd day	1.0150	0.9978	1.0326	0.09	1.1603	1.1389	1.1821	0.12
3rd day	1.0110	0.9904	1.0321	0.30	1.1741	1.1483	1.2005	0.16
2009
Any day	1.0017	0.9924	1.0110	0.73	1.0548	1.0440	1.0658	0.31
1st day	1.0093	0.9964	1.0223	0.16	1.0897	1.0749	1.1048	0.22
2nd day	0.9969	0.9814	1.0126	0.70	1.0539	1.0363	1.0717	0.54
3rd day	0.9867	0.9670	1.0069	0.19	0.8997	0.8804	0.9194	0.34
2010
Any day	1.0260	1.0159	1.0361	< 0.05	1.1450	1.1323	1.1578	< 0.05
1st day	1.0075	0.9939	1.0212	0.28	0.9894	0.9751	1.0041	0.89
2nd day	1.0171	1.0005	1.0340	< 0.05	1.1348	1.1147	1.1552	0.16
3rd day	1.0312	1.0109	1.0519	< 0.05	1.2961	1.2684	1.3245	< 0.05
2011
Any day	1.0004	0.9906	1.0103	0.94	1.1202	1.1079	1.1326	< 0.05
1st day	1.0148	1.0011	1.0288	< 0.05	1.2305	1.2127	1.2487	< 0.05
2nd day	0.9869	0.9705	1.0036	0.12	0.9523	0.9354	0.9696	0.59
3rd day	1.0042	0.9838	1.0250	0.69	1.0736	1.0502	1.0975	0.53
2012
Any day	1.0305	1.0205	1.0406	< 0.05	1.2161	1.2029	1.2295	< 0.05
1st day	1.0189	1.0055	1.0325	< 0.05	1.1252	1.1093	1.1413	0.10
2nd day	1.0180	1.0016	1.0347	< 0.05	1.1157	1.0964	1.1353	0.22
3rd day	1.0237	1.0034	1.0444	< 0.05	1.2335	1.2073	1.2604	0.06
2013
Any day	1.0168	1.0071	1.0266	< 0.05	1.2231	1.2104	1.2360	< 0.05
1st day	1.0043	0.9908	1.0181	0.53	1.0971	1.0812	1.1133	0.21
2nd day	1.0108	0.9939	1.0279	0.21	1.1586	1.1380	1.1797	0.11
3rd day	1.0225	1.0023	1.0431	< 0.05	1.2665	1.2398	1.2939	< 0.05
2014
Any day	0.9986	0.9882	1.0091	0.79	1.0207	1.0088	1.0327	0.73
1st day	0.9970	0.9829	1.0114	0.68	0.9818	0.9669	0.9970	0.82
2nd day	0.9953	0.9782	1.0127	0.60	0.9519	0.9342	0.9699	0.61
3rd day	1.0077	0.9858	1.0301	0.49	1.0709	1.0458	1.0966	0.57
2015
Any day	1.0051	0.9947	1.0156	0.33	1.2467	1.2328	1.2607	< 0.05
1st day	1.0071	0.9930	1.0214	0.33	1.1541	1.1368	1.1717	0.06
2nd day	1.0177	1.0003	1.0354	< 0.05	1.3149	1.2909	1.3393	< 0.05
3rd day	1.0173	0.9963	1.0388	0.11	1.3036	1.2747	1.3332	< 0.05
2016
Any day	1.0296	1.0186	1.0406	< 0.05	1.1412	1.1278	1.1549	< 0.05
1st day	1.0277	1.0127	1.0430	< 0.05	1.1876	1.1688	1.2066	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0295	1.0112	1.0482	< 0.05	1.2437	1.2199	1.2681	< 0.05
3rd day	1.0230	1.0007	1.0457	< 0.05	1.0712	1.0462	1.0968	0.57

Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement H.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Heat day	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
2000
Any day	0.9443	0.7704	1.1574	0.58	0.4969	0.4010	0.6156	0.52
1st day	1.1722	0.8804	1.5607	0.28	2.9312	2.1560	3.9851	0.49
2nd day	1.0136	0.7107	1.4456	0.94	1.0813	0.7442	1.5712	0.97
3rd day	0.6749	0.4151	1.0972	0.11	0.0090	0.0054	0.0148	0.07
2001
Any day	0.9519	0.7836	1.1562	0.62	0.5014	0.4020	0.6253	0.54
1st day	1.0473	0.7939	1.3817	0.74	2.9003	2.1418	3.9274	0.49
2nd day	0.7789	0.5235	1.1589	0.22	0.0758	0.0497	0.1156	0.23
3rd day	0.7273	0.4233	1.2495	0.25	0.0054	0.0031	0.0094	0.07
2002
Any day	1.0534	0.8531	1.3009	0.63	2.8301	2.2310	3.5900	0.39
1st day	0.8775	0.6143	1.2534	0.47	0.3633	0.2439	0.5413	0.62
2nd day	0.6871	0.4391	1.0749	0.10	0.0174	0.0106	0.0284	0.11
3rd day	0.7273	0.4233	1.2495	0.25	69.4835	38.8563	124.2519	0.15
2003
Any day	1.1611	0.9524	1.4156	0.14	11.6884	9.3215	14.6564	< 0.05
1st day	1.1348	0.8162	1.5778	0.45	9.7846	6.8295	14.0183	0.21
2nd day	0.9508	0.6196	1.4588	0.82	0.9024	0.5774	1.4103	0.96
3rd day	1.8368	1.2226	2.7594	< 0.05	139.0756	91.0386	212.4595	< 0.05
2004
Any day	1.0272	0.9058	1.1649	0.68	1.2190	1.0593	1.4027	0.78
1st day	1.1850	0.9872	1.4224	0.07	8.2959	6.7905	10.1350	< 0.05
2nd day	0.9205	0.7311	1.1589	0.48	0.2940	0.2298	0.3760	0.33
3rd day	0.8037	0.5995	1.0774	0.14	0.0853	0.0623	0.1168	0.12
2005
Any day	1.1008	0.9672	1.2528	0.15	4.3792	3.7878	5.0630	< 0.05
1st day	1.0888	0.8956	1.3237	0.39	3.6774	2.9680	4.5565	0.23
2nd day	1.0895	0.8674	1.3686	0.46	5.1398	4.0145	6.5806	0.19
3rd day	1.2123	0.9225	1.5930	0.17	4.0832	3.0138	5.5322	0.36
2006
Any day	1.0740	0.9331	1.2362	0.32	0.9767	0.8337	1.1441	0.98
1st day	1.0997	0.8785	1.3766	0.41	0.9290	0.7339	1.1759	0.95
2nd day	0.9565	0.7413	1.2342	0.73	0.6484	0.4960	0.8477	0.75
3rd day	1.0563	0.7933	1.4066	0.71	0.6745	0.4949	0.9193	0.80
2007
Any day	0.9811	0.9142	1.0528	0.60	0.9392	0.8684	1.0158	0.88
1st day	1.0253	0.9251	1.1362	0.63	1.3820	1.2352	1.5462	0.57
2nd day	0.9631	0.8473	1.0947	0.56	0.6048	0.5268	0.6942	0.47
3rd day	0.9373	0.7976	1.1014	0.43	0.6173	0.5195	0.7337	0.58
2008
Any day	0.9911	0.9321	1.0539	0.78	0.7301	0.6818	0.7819	0.37
1st day	1.0069	0.9164	1.1063	0.89	1.0202	0.9208	1.1304	0.97
2nd day	0.9947	0.8893	1.1125	0.93	0.7201	0.6378	0.8131	0.60
3rd day	0.9543	0.8341	1.0917	0.50	0.4485	0.3883	0.5179	0.27
2009
Any day	0.9772	0.9251	1.0323	0.41	0.6014	0.5658	0.6392	0.10
1st day	0.9188	0.8427	1.0018	0.05	0.3385	0.3088	0.3711	< 0.05
2nd day	1.0168	0.9162	1.1285	0.75	1.2062	1.0793	1.3480	0.74
3rd day	1.1579	1.0202	1.3143	< 0.05	3.3197	2.8967	3.8044	0.08
2010
Any day	1.0593	0.9985	1.1236	0.06	2.0142	1.8878	2.1490	< 0.05
1st day	1.0025	0.9122	1.1018	0.96	1.1307	1.0210	1.2522	0.81
2nd day	1.1280	1.0108	1.2589	< 0.05	1.8317	1.6273	2.0618	0.32
3rd day	1.0317	0.9023	1.1797	0.65	2.2578	1.9498	2.6145	0.28
2011
Any day	1.0357	0.9765	1.0986	0.24	1.8924	1.7709	2.0224	0.06
1st day	0.9989	0.9103	1.0960	0.98	1.0720	0.9697	1.1852	0.89
2nd day	1.0005	0.8900	1.1247	0.99	1.2928	1.1393	1.4670	0.69
3rd day	0.9915	0.8611	1.1417	0.91	0.9081	0.7800	1.0574	0.90
2012
Any day	1.0083	0.9502	1.0700	0.78	0.7972	0.7457	0.8522	0.51
1st day	0.9758	0.8909	1.0688	0.60	0.7121	0.6461	0.7849	0.49
2nd day	0.9859	0.8774	1.1078	0.81	0.7069	0.6248	0.7997	0.58
3rd day	0.9844	0.8542	1.1345	0.83	0.6514	0.5601	0.7575	0.58
2013
Any day	0.9884	0.9332	1.0469	0.69	1.2316	1.1568	1.3112	0.51
1st day	0.9970	0.9071	1.0958	0.95	1.2096	1.0913	1.3406	0.72
2nd day	0.9923	0.8816	1.1168	0.90	1.5142	1.3335	1.7193	0.52
3rd day	0.9897	0.8625	1.1356	0.88	1.2006	1.0358	1.3917	0.81
2014
Any day	0.9942	0.9311	1.0616	0.86	0.7803	0.7250	0.8397	0.51
1st day	1.0027	0.9090	1.1060	0.96	1.0170	0.9147	1.1308	0.98
2nd day	0.9296	0.8214	1.0520	0.25	0.4366	0.3818	0.4994	0.23
3rd day	1.0659	0.9128	1.2448	0.42	1.8001	1.5194	2.1326	0.50
2015
Any day	1.1146	1.0457	1.1881	< 0.05	4.0144	3.7491	4.2986	< 0.05
1st day	1.0730	0.9751	1.1808	0.15	2.6014	2.3470	2.8834	0.07
2nd day	1.1101	0.9852	1.2509	0.09	4.6836	4.1202	5.3239	< 0.05
3rd day	1.0207	0.8828	1.1802	0.78	1.1026	0.9431	1.2890	0.90
2016
Any day	1.0456	0.9784	1.1175	0.19	1.7317	1.6103	1.8622	0.14
1st day	0.9830	0.8883	1.0877	0.74	0.9885	0.8862	1.1027	0.98
2nd day	1.1660	1.0383	1.3095	< 0.05	3.6850	3.2514	4.1764	< 0.05
3rd day	0.9712	0.8292	1.1374	0.72	1.3298	1.1220	1.5762	0.74

Original and corrected estimates for main effects from Supplement I.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Exposure	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
2000
Lag 0	0.9216	0.9197	0.9235	< 0.05	0.9833	0.9811	0.9856	0.16
Lags 0–1	0.8989	0.8967	0.9012	< 0.05	0.9878	0.9851	0.9906	0.39
Lags 0–2	0.8736	0.8711	0.8761	< 0.05	0.9957	0.9925	0.9990	0.80
Lags 0–3	0.8453	0.8426	0.8481	< 0.05	0.9959	0.9922	0.9996	0.83
Lags 0–4	0.8278	0.8249	0.8308	< 0.05	0.9896	0.9856	0.9937	0.61
2001
Lag 0	1.0651	1.0632	1.0670	< 0.05	1.0342	1.0321	1.0364	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.1001	1.0978	1.1025	< 0.05	1.0482	1.0456	1.0508	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.1190	1.1164	1.1217	< 0.05	1.0489	1.0459	1.0520	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.1407	1.1376	1.1437	< 0.05	1.0535	1.0501	1.0569	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.1591	1.1557	1.1625	< 0.05	1.0593	1.0555	1.0630	< 0.05
2002
Lag 0	0.9930	0.9915	0.9945	0.37	0.9933	0.9916	0.9949	0.43
Lags 0–1	0.9988	0.9970	1.0006	0.90	0.9986	0.9965	1.0006	0.89
Lags 0–2	0.9998	0.9977	1.0019	0.99	0.9963	0.9940	0.9986	0.75
Lags 0–3	0.9972	0.9948	0.9995	0.81	0.9887	0.9862	0.9913	0.40
Lags 0–4	0.9846	0.9820	0.9871	0.24	0.9736	0.9707	0.9764	0.07
2003
Lag 0	0.9895	0.9877	0.9912	0.23	1.0054	1.0035	1.0074	0.58
Lags 0–1	0.9850	0.9828	0.9871	0.17	1.0099	1.0074	1.0123	0.43
Lags 0–2	0.9590	0.9566	0.9614	< 0.05	0.9940	0.9911	0.9970	0.69
Lags 0–3	0.9577	0.9550	0.9604	< 0.05	0.9998	0.9964	1.0032	0.99
Lags 0–4	0.9570	0.9540	0.9600	< 0.05	1.0011	0.9973	1.0049	0.96
2004
Lag 0	1.0398	1.0387	1.0410	< 0.05	1.0137	1.0125	1.0149	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0428	1.0414	1.0441	< 0.05	1.0153	1.0139	1.0168	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0410	1.0395	1.0426	< 0.05	1.0153	1.0137	1.0169	0.06
Lags 0–3	1.0428	1.0411	1.0445	< 0.05	1.0178	1.0159	1.0196	0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0388	1.0369	1.0407	< 0.05	1.0119	1.0100	1.0139	0.24
2005
Lag 0	1.0515	1.0503	1.0527	< 0.05	1.0135	1.0122	1.0149	0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0779	1.0764	1.0793	< 0.05	1.0208	1.0192	1.0225	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.1114	1.1097	1.1132	< 0.05	1.0290	1.0271	1.0309	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.1355	1.1335	1.1375	< 0.05	1.0332	1.0310	1.0353	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.1494	1.1472	1.1516	< 0.05	1.0290	1.0267	1.0313	< 0.05
2006
Lag 0	0.9910	0.9898	0.9921	0.14	1.0108	1.0095	1.0122	0.11
Lags 0–1	0.9900	0.9886	0.9914	0.16	1.0158	1.0142	1.0174	0.05
Lags 0–2	0.9841	0.9825	0.9856	< 0.05	1.0194	1.0175	1.0212	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	0.9782	0.9764	0.9799	< 0.05	1.0202	1.0181	1.0222	0.05
Lags 0–4	0.9759	0.9740	0.9778	< 0.05	1.0237	1.0214	1.0260	< 0.05
2007
Lag 0	1.0041	1.0036	1.0045	0.09	1.0113	1.0108	1.0118	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	0.9993	0.9988	0.9998	0.79	1.0122	1.0116	1.0128	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	0.9944	0.9938	0.9950	0.06	1.0110	1.0103	1.0116	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	0.9914	0.9907	0.9920	< 0.05	1.0092	1.0085	1.0099	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	0.9903	0.9896	0.9910	< 0.05	1.0098	1.0090	1.0106	< 0.05
2008
Lag 0	0.9552	0.9547	0.9557	< 0.05	1.0062	1.0056	1.0067	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	0.9504	0.9498	0.9509	< 0.05	1.0105	1.0099	1.0112	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	0.9413	0.9407	0.9419	< 0.05	1.0088	1.0081	1.0095	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	0.9319	0.9312	0.9325	< 0.05	1.0077	1.0069	1.0085	0.06
Lags 0–4	0.9250	0.9243	0.9257	< 0.05	1.0075	1.0066	1.0084	0.10
2009
Lag 0	1.0319	1.0314	1.0324	< 0.05	1.0067	1.0062	1.0072	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0353	1.0347	1.0358	< 0.05	1.0098	1.0092	1.0104	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0344	1.0338	1.0350	< 0.05	1.0093	1.0087	1.0100	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0346	1.0339	1.0352	< 0.05	1.0085	1.0077	1.0092	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0355	1.0348	1.0362	< 0.05	1.0069	1.0061	1.0077	0.08
2010
Lag 0	1.0268	1.0263	1.0273	< 0.05	1.0102	1.0097	1.0107	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0374	1.0368	1.0379	< 0.05	1.0136	1.0131	1.0142	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0425	1.0419	1.0431	< 0.05	1.0126	1.0120	1.0133	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0442	1.0435	1.0448	< 0.05	1.0113	1.0106	1.0120	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0436	1.0429	1.0443	< 0.05	1.0098	1.0090	1.0105	< 0.05
2011
Lag 0	1.0092	1.0087	1.0097	< 0.05	1.0071	1.0066	1.0076	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0075	1.0070	1.0081	< 0.05	1.0090	1.0084	1.0096	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0013	1.0007	1.0019	0.68	1.0097	1.0090	1.0104	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	0.9960	0.9953	0.9966	0.23	1.0083	1.0076	1.0090	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	0.9934	0.9927	0.9941	0.07	1.0077	1.0069	1.0085	0.06
2012
Lag 0	0.9969	0.9964	0.9974	0.23	1.0062	1.0057	1.0068	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	0.9966	0.9961	0.9972	0.23	1.0080	1.0074	1.0086	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	0.9914	0.9908	0.9920	< 0.05	1.0043	1.0036	1.0050	0.22
Lags 0–3	0.9859	0.9853	0.9866	< 0.05	1.0005	0.9998	1.0012	0.9
Lags 0–4	0.9819	0.9813	0.9826	< 0.05	0.9995	0.9987	1.0003	0.91
2013
Lag 0	1.0155	1.0150	1.0160	< 0.05	1.0051	1.0045	1.0056	0.07
Lags 0–1	1.0204	1.0198	1.0209	< 0.05	1.0087	1.0081	1.0093	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0264	1.0258	1.0270	< 0.05	1.0078	1.0071	1.0084	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0342	1.0336	1.0349	< 0.05	1.0063	1.0056	1.0071	0.08
Lags 0–4	1.0416	1.0409	1.0423	< 0.05	1.0042	1.0034	1.0050	0.29
2014
Lag 0	0.9768	0.9763	0.9773	< 0.05	1.0037	1.0032	1.0043	0.21
Lags 0–1	0.9775	0.9769	0.9780	< 0.05	1.0034	1.0028	1.0040	0.3
Lags 0–2	0.9756	0.9750	0.9762	< 0.05	1.0025	1.0018	1.0032	0.48
Lags 0–3	0.9732	0.9726	0.9738	< 0.05	1.0023	1.0015	1.0030	0.55
Lags 0–4	0.9711	0.9705	0.9718	< 0.05	1.0024	1.0016	1.0032	0.56
2015
Lag 0	1.0257	1.0251	1.0262	< 0.05	1.0080	1.0074	1.0086	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0262	1.0256	1.0268	< 0.05	1.0077	1.0070	1.0084	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0248	1.0241	1.0254	< 0.05	1.0070	1.0063	1.0077	0.06
Lags 0–3	1.0246	1.0239	1.0253	< 0.05	1.0054	1.0047	1.0062	0.17
Lags 0–4	1.0277	1.0269	1.0285	< 0.05	1.0063	1.0055	1.0072	0.14
2016
Lag 0	1.0261	1.0255	1.0267	< 0.05	1.0107	1.0100	1.0113	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0302	1.0295	1.0309	< 0.05	1.0106	1.0099	1.0114	< 0.05
Lags 0–2	1.0344	1.0336	1.0351	< 0.05	1.0116	1.0108	1.0125	< 0.05
Lags 0–3	1.0353	1.0345	1.0361	< 0.05	1.0115	1.0106	1.0124	< 0.05
Lags 0–4	1.0333	1.0324	1.0342	< 0.05	1.0098	1.0088	1.0107	< 0.05

Original and corrected estimates for interactions from Supplement I.

	Old estimate				New estimate
Exposure	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p	Estimate	2.5%	97.5%	p
2000
Lag 0	1.0093	1.0003	1.0185	0.84	1.0127	1.0028	1.0227	0.80
Lags 0–1	0.9539	0.9435	0.9644	0.40	0.9506	0.9392	0.9621	0.41
Lags 0–2	0.8877	0.8763	0.8992	0.07	0.8912	0.8785	0.9041	0.12
Lags 0–3	0.8555	0.8431	0.8682	< 0.05	0.8743	0.8601	0.8889	0.11
Lags 0–4	0.8119	0.7987	0.8253	< 0.05	0.8400	0.8246	0.8557	0.06
2001
Lag 0	1.0206	1.0132	1.0280	0.58	1.0262	1.0178	1.0346	0.54
Lags 0–1	1.0358	1.0272	1.0446	0.41	1.0482	1.0381	1.0584	0.34
Lags 0–2	1.0289	1.0192	1.0387	0.56	1.0418	1.0303	1.0534	0.47
Lags 0–3	1.0349	1.0241	1.0457	0.52	1.0398	1.0271	1.0527	0.53
Lags 0–4	1.0135	1.0021	1.0251	0.82	1.0164	1.0029	1.0301	0.81
2002
Lag 0	1.0415	1.0343	1.0488	0.25	1.0284	1.0206	1.0362	0.47
Lags 0–1	1.0618	1.0532	1.0704	0.15	1.0469	1.0376	1.0564	0.32
Lags 0–2	1.0774	1.0678	1.0872	0.10	1.0653	1.0547	1.0760	0.21
Lags 0–3	1.0574	1.0469	1.0680	0.27	1.0493	1.0378	1.0608	0.39
Lags 0–4	1.0259	1.0147	1.0372	0.65	1.0325	1.0201	1.0451	0.60
2003
Lag 0	1.0359	1.0283	1.0436	0.35	1.0578	1.0493	1.0663	0.17
Lags 0–1	1.0248	1.0158	1.0340	0.59	1.0630	1.0528	1.0733	0.22
Lags 0–2	1.0343	1.0237	1.0451	0.52	1.0781	1.0660	1.0904	0.19
Lags 0–3	1.0389	1.0269	1.0511	0.52	1.0832	1.0692	1.0974	0.23
Lags 0–4	1.0443	1.0311	1.0578	0.51	1.0648	1.0492	1.0806	0.40
2004
Lag 0	1.0119	1.0070	1.0167	0.63	1.0219	1.0167	1.0271	0.40
Lags 0–1	1.0274	1.0217	1.0331	0.34	1.0255	1.0194	1.0316	0.41
Lags 0–2	1.0143	1.0077	1.0209	0.67	1.0153	1.0083	1.0223	0.67
Lags 0–3	0.9966	0.9894	1.0040	0.93	1.0068	0.9990	1.0146	0.87
Lags 0–4	1.0059	0.9978	1.0141	0.89	1.0179	1.0092	1.0267	0.69
2005
Lag 0	1.0120	1.0075	1.0165	0.60	1.0236	1.0183	1.0288	0.37
Lags 0–1	1.0116	1.0065	1.0168	0.66	1.0334	1.0272	1.0395	0.28
Lags 0–2	1.0089	1.0031	1.0147	0.76	1.0364	1.0295	1.0434	0.30
Lags 0–3	1.0118	1.0054	1.0182	0.72	1.0402	1.0325	1.0479	0.30
Lags 0–4	1.0124	1.0055	1.0194	0.73	1.0431	1.0348	1.0514	0.30
2006
Lag 0	0.9948	0.9902	0.9994	0.83	0.9735	0.9686	0.9784	0.29
Lags 0–1	0.9852	0.9799	0.9905	0.59	0.9605	0.9548	0.9662	0.18
Lags 0–2	0.9720	0.9660	0.9781	0.37	0.9564	0.9499	0.9629	0.20
Lags 0–3	0.9730	0.9663	0.9797	0.44	0.9596	0.9523	0.9670	0.29
Lags 0–4	0.9799	0.9725	0.9873	0.60	0.9634	0.9553	0.9715	0.39
2007
Lag 0	0.9994	0.9967	1.0022	0.97	0.9989	0.9959	1.0018	0.94
Lags 0–1	0.9910	0.9878	0.9941	0.58	0.9949	0.9915	0.9983	0.77
Lags 0–2	0.9904	0.9868	0.9939	0.60	0.9946	0.9908	0.9984	0.78
Lags 0–3	0.9884	0.9844	0.9923	0.57	0.9937	0.9894	0.9979	0.77
Lags 0–4	0.9846	0.9803	0.9889	0.49	0.9950	0.9904	0.9997	0.83
2008
Lag 0	1.0107	1.0080	1.0135	0.44	1.0330	1.0299	1.0362	< 0.05
Lags 0–1	1.0070	1.0038	1.0101	0.66	1.0296	1.0260	1.0331	0.10
Lags 0–2	1.0062	1.0027	1.0097	0.73	1.0272	1.0232	1.0312	0.18
Lags 0–3	1.0026	0.9988	1.0065	0.89	1.0226	1.0182	1.0270	0.31
Lags 0–4	1.0005	0.9964	1.0047	0.98	1.0192	1.0144	1.0240	0.43
2009
Lag 0	1.0077	1.0052	1.0101	0.54	0.9918	0.9892	0.9945	0.55
Lags 0–1	1.0108	1.0080	1.0137	0.45	0.9882	0.9851	0.9913	0.45
Lags 0–2	1.0131	1.0099	1.0162	0.42	0.9873	0.9838	0.9907	0.47
Lags 0–3	1.0162	1.0128	1.0197	0.36	0.9861	0.9824	0.9899	0.48
Lags 0–4	1.0177	1.0140	1.0215	0.35	0.9797	0.9756	0.9838	0.33
2010
Lag 0	0.9817	0.9791	0.9844	0.18	0.9947	0.9919	0.9975	0.71
Lags 0–1	0.9703	0.9674	0.9732	< 0.05	0.9812	0.9781	0.9843	0.24
Lags 0–2	0.9654	0.9623	0.9686	< 0.05	0.9783	0.9749	0.9817	0.22
Lags 0–3	0.9632	0.9598	0.9667	< 0.05	0.9778	0.9741	0.9815	0.25
Lags 0–4	0.9561	0.9524	0.9598	< 0.05	0.9716	0.9676	0.9757	0.17
2011
Lag 0	1.0303	1.0274	1.0332	< 0.05	1.0283	1.0252	1.0315	0.08
Lags 0–1	1.0182	1.0149	1.0215	0.27	1.0200	1.0164	1.0236	0.27
Lags 0–2	1.0074	1.0038	1.0111	0.69	1.0132	1.0092	1.0172	0.51
Lags 0–3	1.0092	1.0052	1.0133	0.65	1.0158	1.0114	1.0202	0.48
Lags 0–4	1.0116	1.0072	1.0160	0.60	1.0186	1.0137	1.0234	0.45
2012
Lag 0	1.0170	1.0142	1.0198	0.23	1.0058	1.0029	1.0088	0.70
Lags 0–1	1.0267	1.0236	1.0299	0.09	1.0137	1.0104	1.0170	0.41
Lags 0–2	1.0389	1.0354	1.0423	< 0.05	1.0293	1.0256	1.0329	0.11
Lags 0–3	1.0430	1.0393	1.0468	< 0.05	1.0338	1.0298	1.0378	0.09
Lags 0–4	1.0450	1.0409	1.0490	< 0.05	1.0359	1.0316	1.0402	0.10
2013
Lag 0	0.9742	0.9713	0.9772	0.09	0.9900	0.9867	0.9934	0.57
Lags 0–1	0.9638	0.9604	0.9671	< 0.05	0.9816	0.9778	0.9854	0.35
Lags 0–2	0.9661	0.9624	0.9697	0.07	0.9935	0.9893	0.9978	0.77
Lags 0–3	0.9654	0.9615	0.9694	0.09	0.9987	0.9940	1.0034	0.96
Lags 0–4	0.9676	0.9633	0.9719	0.14	1.0040	0.9989	1.0091	0.88
2014
Lag 0	1.0251	1.0217	1.0285	0.14	1.0152	1.0115	1.0188	0.41
Lags 0–1	1.0356	1.0318	1.0394	0.06	1.0171	1.0130	1.0214	0.42
Lags 0–2	1.0423	1.0381	1.0464	< 0.05	1.0251	1.0204	1.0298	0.29
Lags 0–3	1.0377	1.0332	1.0422	0.09	1.0203	1.0152	1.0255	0.44
Lags 0–4	1.0493	1.0445	1.0541	< 0.05	1.0338	1.0281	1.0395	0.24
2015
Lag 0	1.0060	1.0034	1.0086	0.65	1.0277	1.0247	1.0307	0.07
Lags 0–1	1.0075	1.0046	1.0105	0.62	1.0329	1.0294	1.0363	0.06
Lags 0–2	1.0052	1.0019	1.0085	0.76	1.0323	1.0284	1.0361	0.10
Lags 0–3	1.0061	1.0024	1.0098	0.75	1.0305	1.0263	1.0348	0.15
Lags 0–4	1.0094	1.0053	1.0135	0.65	1.0332	1.0286	1.0379	0.15
2016
Lag 0	1.0430	1.0388	1.0472	< 0.05	1.0173	1.0128	1.0219	0.45
Lags 0–1	1.0267	1.0220	1.0314	0.25	1.0002	0.9952	1.0053	0.99
Lags 0–2	1.0262	1.0211	1.0313	0.31	0.9940	0.9885	0.9996	0.83
Lags 0–3	1.0282	1.0227	1.0337	0.31	0.9899	0.9840	0.9959	0.74
Lags 0–4	1.0328	1.0269	1.0388	0.27	0.9904	0.9840	0.9968	0.77